Hajer - Al Najma Club prediction 20 October 2026

Our Hajer vs Al Najma Club prediction for this Saudi Arabian Division 1 match on October 20, 2026, gives Al Najma Club a 47% chance of winning at the Hajer Club Stadium. Hajer's win probability sits at just 17%, with a draw likely at 36% based on odds, team form and head-to-head records. The match kicks off at 15:45 local time.

Team Form

Hajer enter this match struggling, having failed to win any of their last five outings. Their recent sequence reads: D, D, L, D, D. The only defeat in that spell came at home against Al Jabalain (0‑1), while four draws – including a goalless stalemate with Al Orobah Al Jawf and a 1‑1 tie with Al Anwar Club – highlight a team that is hard to beat but lacks cutting edge up front. Hajer have scored just one goal in their last three home fixtures.

Al Najma Club come into the contest with a slightly stronger profile – W, D, D, D, D across their last five matches. An impressive 3‑0 home win over Damac/Dhamk FC on October 12 is the standout result, but four consecutive draws before that (away to Al Anwar Club, at home to Al Raed, away to Al Akhdoud/Ai Okhdood FC, and a home 1‑1 with Al Jabalain) show a side that is solid yet rarely dominant. On the road, Al Najma have drawn three in a row.

Head-to-Head Record

The two previous meetings in Division 1 give Al Najma Club a clear edge: one win and one draw. Hajer are yet to beat Al Najma Club.

• 11 March 2024 – Al Najma Club 1‑1 Hajer
• 25 October 2023 – Hajer 0‑4 Al Najma Club

The 4‑0 away victory in 2023 underlines Al Najma’s firepower when they travel to face Hajer. However, the most recent encounter ended all square, suggesting the gap may be closing.

League Table Positions

In the Division 1 standings, Al Najma Club sit 5th with 10 points from seven matches (2W, 4D, 1L). Hajer are not among the top 12 in the overall table; their best ranking appears in the away standings, where they sit 8th with 5 points from three road games (1W, 2D). At home, Hajer have yet to register a win this season, managing only two draws and one defeat in three home fixtures. Al Najma Club, in contrast, are unbeaten at home (2W, 2D) and have collected eight points from four home matches.

Win Probability: Hajer or Al Najma Club?

After normalising the latest bookmaker odds (removing the margin) and adjusting for head‑to‑head history, recent form and league position, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Hajer – 17%
• Draw – 36%
• Al Najma Club – 47%

Al Najma Club are the most likely winners: they are higher in the table, have a positive H2H record, and Hajer have been unable to win at home all season. However, the draw carries significant weight because both teams have drawn four of their last five matches. Hajer’s 17% chance reflects their poor home form and the fact they have never beaten Al Najma Club.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers consistently price Al Najma Club as the favourite for this Division 1 encounter. The average odds across major bookmakers are approximately 5.30 for a Hajer home win, 2.50 for the draw, and 1.96 for an Al Najma Club away victory. The best available away win price is 2.10, implying a strong market expectation of three points for the visitors.

Based on the stats and probability model, the most likely outcomes are an Al Najma Club win or a draw. Hajer’s lack of goals and poor home record make a home upset improbable. A low‑scoring away win or a 1‑1 scoreline both fit the recent trends of these two sides.