KäPa Kapylan Pallo - Haka prediction 25 September 2026
KäPa Kapylan Pallo
HakaKäPa Kapylan Pallo
RoPS RovaniemenRoPS RovaniemenKäPa Kapylan PalloEIFKäPa Kapylan PalloKäPa Kapylan PalloMikkelin PalloilijatKäPa Kapylan PalloHakaSJK AkatemiaKäPa Kapylan PalloKäPa Kapylan PalloPK-35 VantaaKlubi 04KäPa Kapylan PalloJaPSKäPa Kapylan PalloKäPa Kapylan PalloJIPPOKTPKäPa Kapylan PalloKäPa Kapylan PalloEIFMikkelin PalloilijatKäPa Kapylan PalloHakaKäPa Kapylan PalloKäPa Kapylan PalloKlubi 04JIPPOHakaHakaPK-35 VantaaKäPa Kapylan PalloHakaHakaKlubi 04EIFHakaHakaMikkelin PalloilijatKTPHakaHakaSJK AkatemiaJaPSHakaHakaJIPPOPK-35 VantaaHakaHakaKäPa Kapylan PalloKlubi 04HakaHakaEIFMikkelin PalloilijatHakaKäPa Kapylan PalloHakaHakaKäPa Kapylan PalloHakaKäPa Kapylan PalloKäPa Kapylan PalloHaka| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KTP | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 48:26 | +22 | 59 |
| 2 |  PK-35 Vantaa | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 44:23 | +21 | 52 |
| 3 | Haka | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 51:31 | +20 | 47 |
| 4 |  JIPPO | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:22 | +16 | 47 |
| 5 |  JaPS | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 38 |
| 6 |  EIF | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 32 |
| 7 |  Mikkelin Palloilijat | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 |  Klubi 04 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | KäPa Kapylan Pallo | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33:49 | -16 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK Akatemia | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23:47 | -24 | 17 |
KäPa Kapylan Pallo vs Haka Prediction (Sep 25)
Our KäPa Kapylan Pallo vs Haka prediction for the Ykkosliiga clash on September 25,2026, sees Haka as the clear favorite with a 55% chance of winning. The match kicks off at17:00 local time and pits eighth-placed KäPa against third-placed Haka, who boast a stronger recent form and a superior head-to-head record.
Team Form
KäPa Kapylan Pallo come into this match with mixed results from their last five fixtures: a win, two draws, and two losses. They beat SJK Akatemia 3-2 away but suffered a heavy 1-4 home defeat to PK-35 Vantaa, followed by back-toback draws (2-2 at Klubi04 and0-0 at JaPS) and a1-3 home loss to JIPPO. Their defense has leaked9 goals in those five matches.
Haka's recent form is slightly better, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. They recorded home victories over Klubi04 (2-0) and SJK Akatemia (2-0), drew2-2 away at EIF, but slipped to a0-2 home reverse against Mikkelin Palloilijat and a2-1 defeat at KTP. Haka have scored8 times in this five-game spell, showing more consistency in attack.
Head-to-Head Record
The Ykkosliiga history between these sides shows Haka with the upper hand. In three meetings, Haka have won once, and two matches have ended level. The most recent contest on Jul25,2026, saw Haka cruise to a3-1 home win. Earlier this season (Apr25,2026) they drew2-2 at Haka, while a Ykkoscup tie in February finished1-1 at KäPa. KäPa are yet to beat Haka.
League Table Positions
A quick look at the Ykkosliiga standings underlines the gap between the two teams. Haka sit3rd with44 points from24 games (W13 D5 L6, goals45:26). K äPa are8th on21 points (W5 D6 L13, goals27:43). Home and away splits further highlight the contrast: Haka have the4th-best away record (W5 D3 L3,17:11), while KäPa rank8th in home form (W2 D3 L6,12:20). The23-point difference in the table and Haka's solid travels give them a clear advantage.
Win Probability: KäPa Kapylan Pallo or Haka?
Based on the available odds, head-to-head data, current form, and league positions, we project the following probabilities:
- KäPa Kapylan Pallo win:20%
- Draw:25%
- Haka win:55%
The raw bookmaker odds imply around51% for a Hka away win, but factoring in Haka's superior away performances, KäPa's leaky home defense, and the unchanged H2H trend (no KäPa win in three attempts) pushes that figure to55%. The draw is the next most likely result, and a home upset, while possible, holds only a one-in-five chance.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers agree with the assessment: Haka are priced as low as1.46 to win, with best-odds approaching1.80. The draw sits around2 .60-2.90, and a home win for KäPa is offered as high as5.00. These odds align closely with our probability model. Taking all factors into account, our final KäPa Kaplan Pallo vs Haka prediction is an away victory. Based on the stats and form, Haka are the most likely winner, and the chances of them taking all three points are significantly higher than any other outcome.
KäPa Kapylan Pallo vs Haka — FAQ
- Who will win KäPa Kapylan Pallo vs Haka?
- Based on our analysis, Haka has a55% chance of winning, the draw is at25%, and KäPa Kapylan Pallo holds a20% probability. Haka is the expected winner given their superior league position, better recent away form, and an unbeaten head-to-head record (W1 D2).
- What is the win probability for Haka?
- Haka has a55% chance of winning. This is derived from bookmaker odds (implied ~51%), then adjusted upwards thanks to Haka's4th-best away record (W5 D3 L3), a23-point gap in the standings, and KäPa's poor home defense (conceded20 in11 home games).
- When is the KäPa Kapylan Pallo vs Haka match?
- The Ykkosliiga fixture is scheduled for September25,2026, with kick-off at17:00 local time (+01:00). It is a league match in Finand's second tier.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers show Haka as the favorite. The best odds available for an away win are as low as1.46, with market-average around1.80. A home win for KäPa is priced up to5.00, and the draw can be backed at roughly2 .60-2.90, depending on the bookmaker.
- What is the head-to-head record between KäPa Kapylan Pallo and Haka?
- The last three meetings ended with one Haka win and two draws. The most recent clash, on Jul25,2026, finished3-1 to Haka. KäPan have yet to beat Haka in any comptitive fixture.