Haka - Klubi 04 prediction 18 September 2026

The Haka vs Klubi 04 prediction for the Ykkosliiga match on Sep 18, 2026, at 15:30 points to a home win. Based on the latest stats and bookmaker odds, Haka has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Klubi 04 has a 12% chance.

Team Form

Haka’s last five matches show mixed results — D, L, L, W, W. The two most recent outings ended in a 2-2 draw away at EIF and a 0-2 home loss to Mikkelin Palloilijat, breaking a short winning streak. Klubi 04’s last five read L, D, W, W, D. They come off a 1-3 away defeat to JIPPO and a 2-2 home draw against KäPa, after back-to-back wins earlier. Neither side arrives in top form, but Haka has been slightly more consistent at home this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head numbers heavily favour Haka: 7 wins, 6 draws, and 0 wins for Klubi 04 in 13 meetings. This season alone the two teams have drawn twice — 2-2 on Jul 17 and 1-1 on May 18. Klubi 04 has never beaten Haka, a trend that carries significant weight in this prediction.

League Table Positions

Haka sits 3rd in the Ykkosliiga with 41 points from 23 games (12 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses). At home they are even stronger — 2nd with 23 points, having scored 26 goals and conceded only 15. Klubi 04 is 8th with 20 points overall. Away from home they rank 6th, with just 2 wins in 12 trips (2 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses). The 21-point gap and home advantage make Haka the clear favourite.

Win Probability: Haka or Klubi 04?

After factoring in pre-match odds, recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings, the win probability breakdown is:
Haka win — 60%
Draw — 28%
Klubi 04 win — 12%
The odds implied around 56% for Haka, 27% for the draw, and 17% for Klubi 04, but the historical dominance (Klubi 04 has never won in 13 attempts) and the home/away table data pushed Klubi 04’s chance down further. Haka is the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 pre-match odds vary slightly across bookmakers: Haka win is priced between 1.45 and 1.55, the draw between 2.50 and 4.70, and Klubi 04 between 4.45 and 5.55. The odds clearly reflect Haka’s superiority. Our match prediction is a home win for Haka, based on the stats, the lopsided H2H record, and the league table gap. A draw cannot be ruled out, but the data points firmly toward three points for the hosts.