Haka - PK-35 Vantaa prediction 9 October 2026

The PK-35 Vantaa vs Haka prediction for the Ykkosliiga match on Jul 31 at 16:00 points to a tight contest. Based on our analysis, PK-35 Vantaa has a 32% chance of winning, a draw is at 38%, and Haka has a 30% chance. Bookmakers and recent form both suggest a draw is the most likely outcome, but the league leaders hold a slight edge.

Team Form

PK-35 Vantaa come into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results show four wins and one draw: a 1-1 draw with JIPPO, then four straight victories against KTP (0-1), KäPa Kapylan Pallo (3-1), EIF (0-3), and Mikkelin Palloilijat (2-1). They are unbeaten in five and have scored multiple goals in three of those matches.

Haka's away form is more mixed. In their last five away games, they recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats: a 3-1 win at KäPa Kapylan Pallo, a 2-2 draw at Klubi 04, a 3-1 win at EIF, a 2-1 loss at Mikkelin Palloilijat, and a 2-0 loss at KTP. The inconsistency, especially the two recent losses, raises questions about their ability to break down a solid PK-35 Vantaa side.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is perfectly balanced. They have met twice before, both in 2026, and both matches ended in draws. In the Ykkosliiga on Apr 11, the game finished 0-0, and in the Ykkoscup on Feb 21, it was 1-1. With no wins for either side, history suggests another stalemate is a real possibility.

League Table Positions

PK-35 Vantaa sit top of the Ykkosliiga with 34 points from 16 games (10 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). They have the best defensive record in the league, conceding only 9 goals. At home, they are 3rd in the home standings with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss from 8 matches.

Haka are 3rd overall with 28 points (8 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). Their away form places them 4th in the away table, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses from 7 trips. While Haka boast the best home record in the division, their away performances have been less dominant, which could be a factor here.

Win Probability: PK-35 Vantaa or Haka?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: PK-35 Vantaa win – 32%, draw – 38%, Haka win – 30%. These percentages are based on the average bookmaker odds (home 3.03, draw 2.28, away 2.87) adjusted for recent form, head-to-head results, and league positions. The odds heavily favor a draw, and the two previous meetings both ended level. PK-35 Vantaa's strong form and home advantage give them a slightly higher chance than Haka, but the most probable single outcome remains a draw.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see a draw as the most likely result. Typical odds for this match are around 3.10 for a PK-35 Vantaa win, 2.10 for the draw, and 3.10 for a Haka win. Some bookies offer slightly lower odds on the away side, but the draw is consistently the shortest price. Based on the stats, a low-scoring draw is the most probable outcome, though PK-35 Vantaa could edge it if they maintain their recent scoring form.