Hibernians Paola - Hamrun Spartans FC prediction 11 October 2026
Hibernians Paola
Hamrun Spartans FC
Mosta FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaGzira UnitedHibernians PaolaBirzebbuga St. PetersHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCFlorianaHibernians PaolaBirkirkara FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaValletta FCHibernians PaolaZabbar St. PatrickMarsaxlokkHibernians PaolaSliema WanderersHibernians PaolaZabbar St. PatrickHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaBirkirkara FCTarxien RainbowsHibernians PaolaSliema WanderersHibernians PaolaValletta FCHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCBalzan YouthsGzira UnitedHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCMarsaxlokkHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCMarsaxlokkHamrun Spartans FCBirzebbuga St. PetersZabbar St. PatrickHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCFlorianaBirkirkara FCHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCMosta FCHamrun Spartans FCNSI RunavikNSI RunavikHamrun Spartans FCValletta FCHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCMarsaxlokkHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCHamrun Spartans FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valletta FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 |  Marsaxlokk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 |
| 3 |  Sliema Wanderers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 17 |
| 4 |  Floriana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 | Hamrun Spartans FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Birkirkara FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Mosta FC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Hibernians Paola | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Balzan Youths | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Zabbar St. Patrick | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 |  Gzira United | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 9:21 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 |  Birzebbuga St. Peters | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 |
Hibernians Paola vs Hamrun Spartans FC Prediction (Oct 11)
Looking for a Hibernians Paola vs Hamrun Spartans FC prediction? This Malta Premier League match kicks off on Oct 11 at 14:30 at the Tony Bezzina Stadium. Based on current form, head-to-head record and bookmaker odds, Hamrun Spartans FC are the clear favourites with a 45% win probability, while Hibernians Paola have just a 20% chance and the draw is at 35%.
Team Form
Hibernians Paola enter this game in poor shape. Their last five league matches have returned L, D, L, D, L โ no wins across that run. Most recently they suffered a heavy 4โ0 defeat at Floriana and a 2โ0 home loss to Valletta FC. The only points came from 1โ1 draws with Birkirkara FC and Zabbar St. Patrick, while they also lost 1โ0 at Marsaxlokk.
Hamrun Spartans FC, by contrast, are flying. Their last five results read W, W, W, W, D. That sequence includes a 4โ1 home win over Marsaxlokk, a 2โ0 home win against Birzebbuga St. Peters, a 2โ1 away win at Zabbar St. Patrick and a 1โ1 draw at home to Floriana. They are unbeaten in five and scoring freely.
Head-to-Head Record
Across 33 previous meetings, the head-to-head is close but favours Hamrun: Hibernians have 10 wins, Hamrun 13 and 10 draws. Recent history, however, is one-way traffic. The last five encounters (since December 2024) show:
- Feb 18, 2026: Hibernians Paola 0โ1 Hamrun Spartans FC
- Sep 27, 2025: Hamrun Spartans FC 2โ0 Hibernians Paola
- May 14, 2025 (FA Trophy): Hamrun Spartans FC 1โ2 Hibernians Paola
- Jan 19, 2025: Hibernians Paola 1โ2 Hamrun Spartans FC
- Dec 21,2024: Hibernians Paola 0โ3 Hamrun Spartans FC
Hamrun have won four of those five, including the last two league meetings by shutout.
Leage Table Positions
Hamrun Spartans FC sit 6th in the Premier League with 10 points from 6 games (3W, 1D, 2L), while Hibernians Paola are 10th with just 5 points (1W, 2D, 3L) from the same number of matches. Hibernians have the worst home record among all 12 teams โ they have collected only 1 point from 3 home fixtures (0W,1D,2L). Hamrunโs away form is solid: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from 3 away trips, giving them 6 points on the road.
Win Probability: Hibernians Paola or Hamrun Spartans FC?
After normalising the bookmaker odds and adjusting for form, H2H and the league table, the outcome probabilities are:
Hibernians Paola win: 20%
Draw: 35%
Hamrun Spartans FC win: 45%
The away side gets the highest percentage thanks to their dominant recent record in this fixture, a 5-game unbeaten run, and a clear advantage in the standings. Hiberniansโ miserable home form and lack of a single win in five attempts leaves them with a slim chance. A draw is a realistic possibility โ Hibernians have drawn two of their last five, while Hamrun drew their most recent away game.
Odds & Match Prediction
Major bookmakers value the 1X2 market as follows (averaged across four operators):
Hibernians Paola โ around 5.00, Draw โ around 2.30, Hamrun Spartans FC โ around 2.10.
These odds already point to Hamrun as the favourite. Our prediction based on the stats: the away team is more likely to take all three points, but the draw price of 2.30 also reflects a non-negligible chance of a stalemate. If you are looking for betting tips, backing Hamrun Spartans FC to win or the draw no bet option could offer value, but always gamble responsibly.
Hibernians Paola vs Hamrun Spartans FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Hibernians Paola vs Hamrun Spartans FC?
- Our win probability analysis gives Hamrun Spartans FC a 45% chance of winning, compared to 20% for Hibernians Paola and 35% for the draw. That means Hamrun are the most likely winners based on recent form, the head-to-head record and league table positions.
- What is the win probability for Hamrun Spartans FC?
- Hamrun Spartans FC have a 45% win probability for this match, making them the clear favourites. This is driven by their four wins in the last five meetings with Hibernians, a current five-match unbeaten run and a much higher position in the Malta Premier League standings.
- When is the Hibernians Paola vs Hamrun Spartans FC match?
- The game is scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at 14:30 local time. It will be played at the Tony Bezzina Stadium in Paola, Malta, as part of the Malta Premier League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Selected bookmakers are quoting odds around 5.00 for a Hibernians Paola win, 2.30 for a draw and 2.10 for a Hamrun Spartans FC victory. These odds already show Hamrun as the favourite, with Hibernians the underdogs.
- What is the head-to-head record between Hibernians Paola and Hamrun Spartans?
- In 33 all-time meetings, Hibernians have 10 wins, Hamrun has 13 and there have been 10 draws. The last five matches, however, are dominated by Hamrun with 4 wins, including the most recent one 1โ0 away win in February 2026.