Hansa Rostock - SV Meppen prediction 13 October 2026

The Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen prediction for this 3rd Liga clash on October 13, 2026 strongly points toward a home victory. Hansa Rostock enter the match as clear favorites with a 55% win probability, while Meppen's poor form and low standing make an upset very unlikely.

Team Form

Hansa Rostock's recent results show a solid run: they beat Wurzburger Kickers 2-0 away, drew 1-1 at Rot-Weiss Essen, edged VfB Stuttgart II 3-2 at home, suffered a 4-0 loss at Viktoria Koln, and drew 1-1 at home with SV Wehen Wiesbaden. Their last five matches read W, D, W, L, D — two wins, two draws, one defeat, showing consistency at both ends.

SV Meppen are in terrible shape. Their last five results are D, L, L, L, L — a 1-1 home draw with VfB Stuttgart II, followed by four straight losses: 0-1 at 1899 Hoffenheim II, 1-3 home to Viktoria Koln, 1-2 at SC Verl, and an alarming 1-6 home thrashing by Saarbrucken. Confidence is clearly lacking.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Hansa Rostock have dominated this fixture. The head-to-head record shows 8 home wins for Hansa, no draws, and 4 away wins — a total of 12 victories in 12 meetings. The most recent encounter in April 2021 saw Hansa win 3-2 at Meppen. In the last five meetings, Hansa won three, Meppen won two, but the overall trend heavily favors the hosts.

League Table Positions

Hansa Rostock sit 4th in the 3rd Liga with 15 points from 8 games (4 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, 17 goals scored, 15 conceded). They are undefeated at home this season with 1 win and 2 draws in three matches. SV Meppen are not in the top 12 of the league standings, indicating they are battling near the bottom. Their defensive record is especially poor — conceding 6 at home to Saarbrucken highlights their vulnerability.

Win Probability: Hansa Rostock or SV Meppen?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, Hansa Rostock have a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and SV Meppen have a 20% chance. The bookmakers' odds imply a home win probability around 51%, but additional factors like Hansa's undefeated home run, Meppen's poor form, and Hansa's dominance in the H2H shift the probability further in favor of the home side.

Odds & Match Prediction

Prematch 1X2 odds show Hansa Rostock as strong favorites, with average home odds around 1.62–1.68, the draw around 2.60–4.45, and an away win at 3.75–4.57. Bookmakers clearly see Hansa as the most likely winner. Taking all stats into account, the prediction is a home win — Hansa Rostock should extend their good form while Meppen struggle to contain them.