Chichester City - Hanworth Villa prediction 27 October 2026

Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City prediction for the Southern League Premier Division clash on Sep 29, 2026, at 19:45. Hanworth Villa are the clear favorites with a 50% win probability, while Chichester City have a 22% chance of causing an upset, and the draw is rated at 28%. This preview covers team form, head-to-head, league table, win probabilities, and betting tips.

Team Form

Hanworth Villa's last five results: a 2-1 away win at Berkhamsted on Sep 22, a 2-3 home loss to Yate Town on Sep 12, a 4-1 home thrashing of Chertsey Town on Aug 31, a 0-0 draw at Wimborne Town on Aug 29, and a 4-1 home win over Evesham United on Aug 22. That's three wins, one draw, and one defeat, with 12 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their only defeat came against Yate Town, a side currently 12th in the table, while the two home victories were both by 4-1 scorelines.

Chichester City's last five: a 2-2 home draw with Chertsey Town on Sep 22, a 0-5 away hammering at Uxbridge on Sep 12, a 3-2 home win against Havant & Waterlooville on Aug 31, a 2-0 away victory at Hanwell Town on Aug 29, and a 4-0 home demolition of Chippenham Town on Aug 22. They also have three wins, one draw, and one loss, with 11 goals for and 9 against. The heavy loss to 2nd-placed Uxbridge exposed defensive frailties, but they responded with three consecutive wins.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Hanworth Villa and Chichester City. The two teams have never met in a competitive match before, so this will be their first encounter.

League Table Positions

Hanworth Villa occupy 3rd place in the Southern League Premier Division with 16 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). They have scored 15 goals and conceded only 7. At home, they have played 4 games, winning 3 and losing 1, with an impressive 12 goals scored and 5 conceded. Only Plymouth Parkway have scored more home goals in the division.

Chichester City are 7th with 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their goal difference is -1 (13 scored, 14 conceded). Away from home, they have 2 wins and 2 losses from 4 matches, scoring just 3 goals and conceding 8. The gap between the sides is only 3 points, but Hanworth Villa's home advantage and superior defensive record make them strong favorites.

Win Probability: Hanworth Villa or Chichester City?

After analyzing the odds, form, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Hanworth Villa 50%, draw 28%, Chichester City 22%. The bookmakers' implied probabilities (averaged and normalized) gave Hanworth Villa a 45.4% chance, the draw 33.0%, and Chichester City 21.6%. We adjusted these slightly to reflect Hanworth Villa's dominant home form and Chichester City's leaky away defense. Hanworth Villa are the more likely winners, but the draw remains a realistic outcome given both teams' recent consistency.

Odds & Match Prediction

Three bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: 2.20 / 2.40 / 4.33; 2.15 / 2.40 / 4.00; and 1.65 / 3.65 / 4.10. The best home win odds are 2.20, while the lowest is 1.65, indicating strong confidence in a Hanworth Villa victory. The draw odds range from 2.40 to 3.65, and an away win pays between 4.00 and 4.33. The variation in home win odds suggests some bookmakers see a tighter contest, possibly due to Chichester City's recent winning streak. For betting tips, the home win is the safest pick, but the draw offers value. Our Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City prediction: Hanworth Villa to win, but a low-scoring affair could end in a stalemate.