Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa - Hapoel Acre FC prediction 1 October 2026

The Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Acre FC prediction for October 1, 2026, points towards a home victory in this Liga Leumit clash. Based on our win probability analysis, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa has a 48% chance of winning, while Hapoel Acre FC sits at 24%, with the draw at 28%. The match kicks off at 17:00, and bookmakers clearly see the hosts as the favorite.

Team Form

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa enters this match with a poor recent record, showing four losses in their last five outings (L, L, L, W, L). Their most recent fixture was a 3-1 away defeat to Hapoel Kfar Shalem on Sep 28. Before that, they suffered home losses to Maccabi Bnei Raina (0-2) and Hapoel Raanana (1-3). Their only win in this stretch was a 1-0 victory at Hapoel Afula on Sep 6.

Hapoel Acre FC is in even worse shape, having lost all of their last five matches (L, L, L, L, L). The team has been struggling defensively, conceding 15 goals in these five games. They lost 0-3 at home to Hapoel Afula on Sep 24, followed by a 1-0 away loss to Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. Heavy defeats to SC Ashdod (0-4) and MSK Kiryat Yam (5-0) highlight their current crisis.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced. In their last 10 meetings across all competitions, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa has 3 wins, Hapoel Acre FC has 3 wins, and there have been 4 draws. The most recent Liga Leumit encounter on Apr 24, 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate. Earlier that year, on Jan 23, Hapoel Acre FC secured a 1-0 away win. A friendly match on Jul 9, 2025, saw Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa triumph 3-1.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the current Liga Leumit standings, indicating both are struggling in the lower reaches of the table. The available data shows SC Ashdod leading the league with 18 points from 7 matches, while Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv and Hapoel Ironi Rishon LeZion are in pursuit. The absence of both Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa and Hapoel Acre FC from the top 12 suggests they are significantly off the pace this season.

Win Probability: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa or Hapoel Acre FC?

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Hapoel Acre FC has a 24% chance. This calculation is based on the available odds, which are then adjusted for the teams' recent form and head-to-head balance. The inverse of the best available odds (1.68 home, 2.28 draw, 3.75 away) gives an initial implied probability, which is then normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. The home side's slight edge in recent results—one win in five compared to the visitor's zero—and the natural home advantage tilt the percentages in their favor, though the historically even H2H record and both teams' poor form keep the draw probability relatively high.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this fixture show Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa as the clear favorite. The best home win odds are 1.68, the draw is priced at 2.28, and an away win for Hapoel Acre FC can be found at 3.75. Other bookmakers offer similar markets, with home odds ranging from 1.68 to 1.73. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow home win, but given both teams' struggles, a low-scoring affair with a draw as a real possibility cannot be ruled out.