Hapoel Arad - MK Kfar Saba 1928 prediction 13 October 2026

Looking for a Hapoel Arad vs MK Kfar Saba 1928 prediction? The Israeli Cup tie on October 13, 2026, at 17:00 sees MK Kfar Saba 1928 installed as the bookmakers’ favorite, but with a vulnerable recent record. Our model gives the away side a 35% win probability, Hapoel Arad 25%, and the draw a strong 40% chance. Read on for detailed betting tips, team form, and odds analysis.

Team Form

Hapoel Arad’s recent results are not available in the dataset. However, playing at home in a Cup contest could provide a motivational boost. MK Kfar Saba 1928’s last five outings (all in League Alef) paint a concerning picture:

• Oct 9: Shimshon Tel Aviv 3–0 MK Kfar Saba 1928 (L)
• Oct 1: MK Kfar Saba 1928 2–2 Hapoel Marmorek (D)
• Sep 24: FC Holon Yermiyahu 1–0 MK Kfar Saba 1928 (L)
• Sep 17: MK Kfar Saba 1928 0–1 Hapoel Hadera (L)
• Sep 9: Irony Bet Shemesh 1–4 MK Kfar Saba 1928 (W)

After that emphatic 4-1 away win on September 9, MK Kfar Saba 1928 has lost three of four, scoring just twice in that span – both goals came in the 2-2 home draw with Hapoel Marmorek. This inconsistency makes the away side a risky favorite.

Head-to-Head Record

There is zero head-to-head history between Hapoel Arad and MK Kfar Saba 1928. The two clubs have never met in an official match, making this Cup fixture their first competitive encounter. With no H2H data to lean on, current form and bookmaker odds become the primary decision tools.

Win Probability: Hapoel Arad or MK Kfar Saba 1928?

We started with the implied chances from the 1X2 market and adjusted them for MK Kfar Saba 1928’s poor form and the home advantage for Hapoel Arad. The final outcome probabilities are:

• Hapoel Arad win: 25%
• Draw: 40%
• MK Kfar Saba 1928 win: 35%

Raw bookmaker odds suggested an away win probability of about 43%, but MK Kfar Saba 1928’s three defeats in five matches, including a 3-0 rout by Shimshon Tel Aviv last time out, justify a more conservative figure. Hapoel Arad’s home status narrows the gap, making the most probable single outcome a stalemate. Overall, MK Kfar Saba 1928 holds a slim edge, but the margin is small enough that the underdog cannot be discounted.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available 1X2 odds for this Cup tie are:

• Hapoel Arad: 4.75 (some books as low as 4.33)
• Draw: 2.38 (up to 2.40 elsewhere)
• MK Kfar Saba 1928: 2.10 (consistent across bookmakers)

These prices confirm MK Kfar Saba 1928 as the betting market’s favorite, while the short draw odds indicate a tight contest is expected. In light of the probability breakdown and the away team’s unconvincing recent displays, our Hapoel Arad vs MK Kfar Saba 1928 prediction is that the value lies with the home side avoiding defeat. The Draw at 2.38 appeals as a standalone pick, but a 1X double chance also merits consideration for risk-averse bettors. A low-scoring affair looks plausible given MK Kfar Saba 1928’s scoring struggles in four of their last five matches.