AZ Alkmaar - Hapoel Be'er Sheva prediction 15 October 2026
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er ShevaAZ Alkmaar
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- 3W. GoesD
- 11R. DaalF
- 21D. KwakmanM
- 17V. ByskovM
- 6P. KoopmeinersM
- 24A. OufkirF
- 29W. HoedtD
- 18B. KovacsF
- 28J. De BusserG
- 34M. de WitD
- 30D. Kasius
- 7Weslley Patati
- 4L. Schouten
- 1R. Owusu-Oduro
- 9M. Meerdink
- 14C. Stengs
- 22E. Dijkstra
- 8J. Clasie
- 5M. Chรกvez
- 31R. Ichihara
- 7E. PeretzM
- 15I. NachmiasD
- 9Z. AhmedF
- 2G. MizrahiD
- 17A. ForsonM
- 44D. DiopD
- 45M. Abu RumiF
- 5Pedro AmadorD
- 1O. MarcianoG
- 66I. ZlatanoviฤF
- 25Lucas VenturaM
- 4M. Vรญtor
- 8M. Kna'an
- 12I. Rotman
- 70Joรฃo Victor
- 20J. East
- 28N. Yehoshua
- 11A. Ganah
- 90A. Ugarriza
- 36Y. Shani
- 34M. Wolff
- 13O. Davidzada
AZ AlkmaarHapoel Be'er ShevaAZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Prediction (Oct 15, 2026)
Our AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva prediction for the UEFA Europa League clash on October 15, 2026 (17:45 Kick-off) at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar, points to a tight contest where the hosts have a slight edge. Based on odds, recent results and form analysis, AZ Alkmaar holds a 50% win probability, with a draw at 30% and Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 20%.
Team Form
AZ Alkmaar's last five matches show mixed results: a 0-2 loss to Feyenoord (Oct 10), a 1-0 win over Telstar (Sep 20), a 0-1 loss to Sunderland (Sep 16), a 1-1 draw with Willem II (Sep 11) and a 3-2 victory against Herenveen (Sep 6). That's two wins, one draw and two defeats, reflecting inconsistency. At home, AZ managed a win and a draw in their last two Eredivisie outings but lost to Sunderland in Europe.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva enter the game in promising shape with three wins in their last five (away 2-0 vs Ironi Tiberias, home 1-0 vs Haopel Ironi Kiryat Shmona, away 2-0 vs Haopel Petach Tikva), one draw (0-0 at home to Dinamo Zagreb in the Europa League) and a 1-4 home loss to Maccabi Tel Aviv. Away from home they have collected two clean-sheet wins and the draw in Zagreb suggests they can be stubborn on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
There are no previous meetings between AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Be'er Sheva. The head-to-head stands at zero wins, zero draws and zero losses for both sides.
Win Probability: AZ Alkmaar or Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
Bookmakers' odds (home 1.60, draw 2.70, away 7.00) imply a raw probability of 55% for AZ, 32% for the draw and 13% for Hapoel after removing the margin. However, adjusting for Hapoel's strong away form and AZ's recent stumbles, we re-calculate the true chances. AZ Alkmaar has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Hapoel Be'er Sheva has a 20% chance. Despite the home advantage and lower odds, Hapoel's unbeaten away run in Europe and solid defensive displays make this match much closer than the odds suggest.
Odds & Match Prediction
Representative odds for the 1X2 market show AZ Alkmaar at 1.60, the draw at 2.70 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 7.00. Some bookies have AZ as short as 1.29, reflecting heavy favoritism, while the draw price reaches 3.00 and the away win goes up to 10.00. Based on the stats, we see value in a tight, low-scoring affair. Our match prediction is a 1-1 draw, as Hapoel Be'er Sheva's resolute away attitude can frustrate the hosts. AZ might edge it 1-0, but the most likely outome by the numbers is a stalemate.
AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva โ FAQ
- Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
- AZ Alkmaar has a 50% chance of winning, the draw sits at 30%, and Hapoel Be'er Sheva has a 20% probability. While AZ are the favourites, the form and Europa League away performance of Hapoel mean the game could easily end in a draw or a narrow home victory.
- What is the win probability for AZ Alkmaar?
- AZ Alkmaar's win probability is 50%. This is derived from bookmaker odds (implied 55% after margin removal) adjusted downwards because of their inconsistent recent form and Hapoel Be'er Sheva's strong away showings, including a 0-0 draw at Dinamo Zagreb.
- When is the AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva match?
- The match kick-off is on October 15, 2026, at 17:45 local time (BST) at AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar. It is a UEFA Europa League group-stage fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Representative 1X2 odds are 1.60 for an AZ Alkmaar home win, 2.70 for the draw, and 7.00 for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva away victory. Prices vary, with AZ as low as 1.29 at some bookmakers and the away win as high as 10.00.
- Have AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Be'er Sheva played before?
- No, this is the first-ever meeting between the two clubs. There is no head-to-head record to draw on.