Beitar Haifa Yaacov - Hapoel Daliyat Karmel prediction 1 September 2026

Beitar Haifa Yaacov vs Hapoel Daliyat Karmel prediction for the Israel Cup match on September 1, 2026. Based on the latest odds and team form, Hapoel Daliyat Karmel is the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Beitar Haifa Yaacov has a 37% chance and the draw stands at 23%.

Team Form

Beitar Haifa Yaacov's last five matches show a mixed record: D, L, W, W, L. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw against Hapoel Bnei Arrara Ara on August 28, 2026. Before that, they suffered a heavy 0-5 loss to Maccabi Ashdod, but they did beat Hapoel Daliyat Karmel 2-1 and Tzofi Haifa 2-1. The team has scored 6 goals and conceded 13 in these five games, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Hapoel Daliyat Karmel's away form reads L, W, L, W, L. Their last match was the 1-2 defeat to Beitar Haifa Yaacov in September 2025. They also recorded a 4-1 win over Tzeirey Haifa and a 3-2 victory against Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, but suffered a 0-7 thrashing at Dimona. In total, they've netted 8 goals and let in 14 across these five fixtures, indicating similar inconsistency at the back.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before, also in the Cup. On September 16, 2025, Beitar Haifa Yaacov secured a 2-1 home victory. That result gives the hosts a psychological edge, though the sample size is very small.

Win Probability: Beitar Haifa Yaacov or Hapoel Daliyat Karmel?

We calculated the win probabilities by first taking the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home 2.45, draw 3.90, away 2.25) and normalizing them to remove the margin. This gave a baseline of 36.8% for a home win, 23.1% for the draw, and 40.1% for an away win. We then adjusted slightly for the head-to-head result and home advantage. The final probabilities are:

• Beitar Haifa Yaacov win: 37%
• Draw: 23%
• Hapoel Daliyat Karmel win: 40%

Hapoel Daliyat Karmel is the more likely winner, but the match is finely balanced. Beitar Haifa Yaacov's home form and previous H2H success keep them within striking distance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds are: home win 2.45, draw 3.90, away win 2.25. Bookmakers see Hapoel Daliyat Karmel as the favorite, which aligns with the probability model. Based on the stats, a narrow away win or a draw are the most realistic outcomes. Both teams have shown defensive frailties, so goals could be on the cards, but the tight odds suggest a cautious affair. Our prediction: Hapoel Daliyat Karmel has a slight edge, but Beitar Haifa Yaacov cannot be discounted, especially at home.