Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Hadera prediction 30 September 2026

Our Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera prediction for the Liga Alef match on September 30, 2026 gives Hapoel Hadera a 52% win probability. The home side sits at just 18%, while a draw carries a 30% chance. All data points to an away win.

Team Form

Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem come into this match on a terrible run of five straight losses (L-L-L-L-L). The last defeat was a 1‑0 reverse at Irony Bet Shemesh on Sep 23. Before that they conceded three at home to FC Jerusalem (1‑3), lost 3‑1 at Hapoel Herzliya, were beaten 0‑2 at home by Dimona, and went down 0‑1 to tonight’s opponents in the Cup on Aug 25. They have scored once in those five games while leaking ten.

Hapoel Hadera’s form is far stronger: D‑W‑D‑L‑W in their last five outings. After a 1‑0 Cup win at this stadium, they lost 1‑0 at Hapoel Marmorek on Sep 4, then drew 2‑2 at home with Shimshon Tel Aviv, won 1‑0 at MK Kfar Saba 1928 and most recently shared the points in a 1‑1 home draw with Maccabi Ashdod on Sep 24. Those results show a team that travels well and rarely loses heavily.

Head-to-Head Record

The sole previous meeting finished 0‑1 in favor of Hapoel Hadera. That Cup tie was played at Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem on Aug 25, 2026, just over a month before this Liga Alef encounter. The away side dominated and kept a clean sheet.

Win Probability: Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem or Hapoel Hadera?

We calculate the chances based on average bookmaker odds, adjusted for recent form and head‑to‑head history:

• Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem win: 18%
• Draw: 30%
• Hapoel Hadera win: 52%

The odds imply Hapoel Hadera should be backed at around 49%, but their superior form and the head‑to‑head result push the probability above the 50% mark. The home side’s losing streak and lack of goals make an upset highly unlikely. A draw is a realistic fallback, but the balance tilts firmly towards the visitors.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Hapoel Hadera as the clear favourite. The average 1X2 odds from six bookies are:

• Home win: 4.68
• Draw: 2.95
• Away win: 1.88

Some operators have the away win as short as 1.55, while the best home price is 5.35. The betting market strongly points to an away success.

Based on the stats, our final Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Hadera prediction is an away victory. A 1‑0 or 2‑0 scoreline looks the most probable outcome, given Hapoel Hadera’s recent defensive record and the host’s goal‑scoring woes.