Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Azor prediction 22 October 2026

Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Azor prediction for the League Alef match on October 22, 2026, at 18:15. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Hapoel Herzliya is the favorite with a 44% win probability.

Team Form

Hapoel Herzliya have managed only one win in their last five outings (W1 D3 L1). The most recent league game ended in a 2-2 draw away at Maccabi Ironi Sderot. Before that, they lost 0-1 at home to Hapoel Azor in the Cup, drew 0-0 with Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, 0-0 at Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi, and beat Tzeirey Tira 1-0. The attack has been quiet, scoring just 3 goals across those five matches.

Hapoel Azor come into the fixture undefeated in their last five (W2 D3 L0). They played a 0-0 home draw with Dimona, beat Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 in the Cup away, drew 1-1 at Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon, 0-0 at Maccabi Ironi Sderot, and beat Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-0 at home. Azor have kept three clean sheets in those five games, showing defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met four times in recent history. Hapoel Herzliya hold the edge with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. At home, Herzliya have won twice (2-1 in October 2025 and 2-1 in January 2025), but recently lost 0-1 to Azor at this ground in the Cup on October 12, 2026. The only meeting on Azor's soil ended 0-0 in February 2026.

• Oct 12, 2026 (Cup): Hapoel Herzliya 0-1 Hapoel Azor
• Feb 12, 2026 (League Alef): Hapoel Azor 0-0 Hapoel Herzliya
• Oct 10, 2025 (League Alef): Hapoel Herzliya 2-1 Hapoel Azor
• Jan 30, 2025 (League Alef): Hapoel Herzliya 2-1 Hapoel Azor

Win Probability: Hapoel Herzliya or Hapoel Azor?

We calculate outcome probabilities from the bookmaker odds (inverse and normalized). Hapoel Herzliya has a 44% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Hapoel Azor has a 28% chance. This probability reflects the home advantage and the head-to-head record where Herzliya have historically dominated, but the recent cup loss and Azor's unbeaten run in their last five matches pull the draw and away win chances closer. The most likely outcome is a narrow home victory, but a draw is almost as probable as an away win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Hapoel Herzliya as the favourite. The best home win odds observed are 2.00, with the draw at 3.05 and an away win up to 3.30. These odds imply a 44% chance for the home side. Given the recent H2H loss and the visitors' solid defensive form, betting tips may lean towards a low-scoring affair with a Home Win or Draw Double Chance being a popular market. Our prediction: based on the stats, Hapoel Herzliya is the more likely winner, but the match could easily end in a draw. The under 2.5 goals angle also looks worth considering.