Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Herzliya prediction 30 September 2026

Looking for a Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Herzliya prediction? This League Alef match kicks off on Sep 30, 2026, at 14:00 local time, and our data-driven model points to a draw as the most probable result, with a 38% chance. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi has a 37% win probability, while Hapoel Herzliya sits at 25%.

Team Form

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi enters unbeaten in five games (W-W-W-D-D). Recent highlights: a 5-1 thrashing of Dimona away, a 3-0 home win against Hapoel Azor, and a 2-1 victory at Maccabi Ironi Sderot. They drew 1-1 at home to Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and 0-0 at FC Holon Yermiyahu, scoring 9 goals in that stretch.

Hapoel Herzliya is also undefeated in their last five (W-D-D-W-W). They beat Tzeirey Tira 1-0, drew 0-0 at Maccabi Yavne in the league, then drew 2-2 in a cup tie at Irony Bet Shemesh, before a 3-1 home success over Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem and a 2-1 away win at Maccabi Ashdod. They’ve netted 8 goals and conceded only 4, showcasing defensive resilience.

Head-to-Head Record

Over five previous meetings, Hapoel Herzliya have the upper hand, with 2 wins and 3 draws. Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi are yet to beat them. The full list:

• Nov 7, 2025: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi 1-1 Hapoel Herzliya
• Feb 28, 2025: Hapoel Herzliya 1-1 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi
• Nov 5, 2024: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi 0-1 Hapoel Herzliya
• Mar 15, 2024: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi 0-4 Hapoel Herzliya
• Dec 23, 2023: Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi

The visitors have never lost this fixture, and with three draws in five, another stalemate is a realistic expectation.

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Herzliya Win Probability & Match Prediction

We started with odds from three bookmakers. The first set implied home 31.5%, draw 44.3%, away 24.2%; the second: 31.8%/43.5%/24.7%; the third: 42.0%/28.8%/29.2%. Averaged, the raw odds-based chances are 35.1% home win, 38.9% draw, 26.0% away win. Adjusting for both sides’ excellent recent form and Hapoel Herzliya’s historical dominance, we fine-tune to: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi win – 37%, draw – 38%, Hapoel Herzliya win – 25%.

Thus, Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi has a 37% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and Hapoel Herzliya has a 25% chance. The draw is the most likely single outcome, but the home side is extremely close. For betting tips, a double chance on Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi or Draw could be a safe approach.

Bookmakers quote a wide range: home odds from 2.12 to 2.88, the draw from 2.05 to 3.10, and an away win from 3.05 to 3.75. The market with 2.12 for the home win clearly favors the hosts, while the other two see the draw as the shortest price. Considering the draw-heavy head-to-head and both teams’ unbeaten runs, a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. However, Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malakhi’s home form could tilt it in their favour.