Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Marmorek prediction 19 October 2026

Our Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek prediction looks ahead to this League Alef match on Oct 19 at 16:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head records, Hapoel Marmorek enters as the favorite with a 48% win probability. Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem has a 33% chance, while the draw sits at 19%.

Team Form

Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem's recent form is concerning: they have lost their last five matches. They suffered heavy defeats, including a 5-0 loss to FC Holon Yermiyahu on Oct 8 and a 4-0 home loss to Hapoel Hadera on Sep 30. With only one goal scored in those five games and 16 conceded, their confidence appears low.

Hapoel Marmorek's form is slightly better but still winless in their last five outings. They recorded two consecutive draws: 1-1 against Maccabi Ashdod on Oct 8 and 2-2 against MK Kfar Saba 1928 on Oct 1. Before that, they had a run of three straight defeats. They have scored four goals in their last five matches, showing some attacking potential.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem. In the last 10 meetings across all competitions, Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem has won 5, Hapoel Marmorek has won 1, and 4 matches ended in draws. The most recent fixture on Nov 7, 2025, saw Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem win 3-0 away at Hapoel Marmorek. In fact, Hapoel Marmorek has failed to score in their last three home encounters against this opponent.

League Table Positions

No specific league table positions or points are available in the provided data. Both teams compete in Israel's League Alef. Their current form suggests they may both be positioned in the lower half of the table, although exact rankings cannot be confirmed without additional data.

Win Probability: Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem or Hapoel Marmorek?

The calculated win probabilities for this match are: Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem 33%, Draw 19%, Hapoel Marmorek 48%. These percentages are derived from an analysis of the available bookmaker odds. The average odds across bookmakers see Hapoel Marmorek as the favorite at around 1.78, while Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem is an outsider at around 5.26. The significant gap in the odds was the primary factor, adjusted slightly for the contrasting form. Despite Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem's superior head-to-head record, their current five-match losing streak and Hapoel Marmorek's recent stabilization with two draws tilt the balance toward the away side. Home advantage is factored in but is not enough to make Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem the favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available bookmaker odds for this match show Hapoel Marmorek as the clear favorite. The odds for an away win range from 1.42 to 1.95, with most bookmakers pricing it around 1.87. The draw is offered at odds between 2.40 and 4.40, while a home win for Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem ranges from 5.00 to 5.50. Based on the stats and current form, an away win for Hapoel Marmorek is the most likely outcome. Bookmakers see Hapoel Marmorek as the favorite, and their slightly better recent performances support this. However, given their own inconsistent form, the draw also presents some value in the betting tips for this match.