Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Ashdod prediction 8 October 2026

The Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod prediction for this League Alef clash on Oct 8 at 17:00 points to a tight contest where Maccabi Ashdod holds a slight edge. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Maccabi Ashdod has a 40% win probability, while Hapoel Marmorek sits at 35%, and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Hapoel Marmorek enters this match with poor recent form, recording one draw and three losses in their last four outings. Their last five results read D, L, L, L, W. The most recent match was a 2-2 away draw against MK Kfar Saba 1928 on Oct 1. Before that, they suffered consecutive home defeats: 1-2 to Shimshon Tel Aviv and 0-1 to Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon. Their only win in this stretch came at home against Hapoel Hadera (1-0) on Sep 4.

Maccabi Ashdod's form is steadier, with a W, D, D, D, L sequence. They secured a 2-0 home win over FC Holon Yermiyahu on Sep 30, breaking a run of three straight draws. Those draws came against Hapoel Hadera (1-1), Irony Bet Shemesh (2-2), and FC Jerusalem (1-1). The single loss was a 1-2 home defeat to Hapoel Herzliya on Sep 3. Maccabi Ashdod has been harder to beat lately, losing just once in five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly matched over 16 encounters. Hapoel Marmorek has 5 wins, Maccabi Ashdod has 6 wins, and 5 matches have ended in draws. The most recent meeting on Feb 27, 2026, finished 1-1 at Hapoel Marmorek. However, the previous clash on Nov 1, 2025, saw Maccabi Ashdod dominate with a 5-0 home victory. In the last five H2H matches, Maccabi Ashdod has won twice, Hapoel Marmorek once, and two ended level.

League Table Positions

No specific league table positions or points are provided in the available data. Both teams compete in Israel's League Alef, and their recent form suggests they are likely in mid-to-lower table positions, with Maccabi Ashdod showing slightly more consistency in avoiding defeats.

Win Probability: Hapoel Marmorek or Maccabi Ashdod?

Calculating the win probability based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head stats gives a clear picture. Using the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.62, draw 3.10, away 2.32) and normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, the base probabilities are adjusted for team form and H2H record. Hapoel Marmorek's poor recent run (one win in five) lowers their chances, while Maccabi Ashdod's resilience (one loss in five) and a dominant 5-0 H2H win in late 2025 boost their outlook. The final probabilities are: Hapoel Marmorek win 35%, draw 25%, Maccabi Ashdod win 40%. Maccabi Ashdod is more likely to win, but the match is expected to be competitive.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a close contest. The available odds show Maccabi Ashdod as a slight favorite with an away win priced around 2.32 to 2.40. A home win for Hapoel Marmorek is offered at 2.62 to 2.70, and the draw is between 3.10 and 3.20. Based on the stats, the value might lie with the away side given their better form and recent H2H success. Our match prediction leans towards a Maccabi Ashdod win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the frequency of stalemates in this fixture.