MK Kfar Saba 1928 - Hapoel Marmorek prediction 1 October 2026

The MK Kfar Saba 1928 vs Hapoel Marmorek prediction for October 1, 2026, points to a home-favored contest in Israel's League Alef. According to our win probability model, MK Kfar Saba 1928 enters the match with a 50% chance of victory, while the draw sits at 27% and Hapoel Marmorek holds a 23% chance. Kick-off is set for 17:30 local time.

Team Form

MK Kfar Saba 1928 have been inconsistent in their last five outings, recording two wins and three losses. Their most recent match ended in a 1-0 away defeat to FC Holon Yermiyahu on September 24. Prior to that, they lost 1-0 at home to Hapoel Hadera, but a 4-1 away win over Irony Bet Shemesh on September 9 showed their attacking potential. The home side's form reads L, L, W, L, W across all competitions.

Hapoel Marmorek are struggling for consistency, with just one win in their last five matches (W1, D1, L3). They fell 2-1 at home to Shimshon Tel Aviv on September 23, lost 1-0 at home to Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon, and were beaten 1-0 by FC Holon Yermiyahu. Their sole victory in this stretch came on September 4, a 1-0 home success against Hapoel Hadera. The away side's recent form line reads L, L, L, W, D.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once in recent history. On January 3, 2026, Hapoel Marmorek secured a 1-0 away win over MK Kfar Saba 1928 in League Alef. That result gives the visitors a psychological edge, though the sample size is minimal.

Win Probability: MK Kfar Saba 1928 or Hapoel Marmorek?

We calculate the chances of each outcome as follows: MK Kfar Saba 1928 win – 50%, draw – 27%, Hapoel Marmorek win – 23%. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (inverse of the 1X2 market, normalized to remove the margin), then adjusted for home advantage, recent form, and the head-to-head record. The home team's slightly better recent results and the inherent edge of playing at home tip the balance in their favor, despite Hapoel Marmorek's victory in the only previous meeting.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced MK Kfar Saba 1928 as the favorite. The best available odds at the time of writing are 1.80 for a home win, 3.30 for the draw, and 3.90 for an away win. These odds imply a home win probability of around 50% once the overround is removed, which aligns with our model. Based on the stats, MK Kfar Saba 1928 are the most likely winners, but Hapoel Marmorek cannot be discounted given their head-to-head success. A low-scoring affair is possible, with the home side expected to edge it.