Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot - Hapoel Nof HaGalil prediction 16 October 2026

The Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot vs Hapoel Nof HaGalil prediction for this League Alef match on Oct 16 at 12:00 points to an away win, with Hapoel Nof HaGalil having a 45% chance of victory. The home side holds a 30% probability, while the draw is at 25%. Bookmakers see a tight contest, but recent form heavily favors the visitors.

Team Form

Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot come into this match with a mixed run of results: two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings (W, W, L, L, D). Their most recent match was a convincing 4-0 away win at Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Oct 12. Before that, they beat Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 2-1 at home. However, they also suffered a 1-0 loss at Tzeirey Tamra and a 3-2 home cup defeat to MS Tira, with a goalless draw against the same opponent in February.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil, on the other hand, are in excellent shape with four wins and just one loss in their last five (W, W, L, W, W). They demolished Hapoel Bnei Musmus 4-0 in the cup on Oct 12, edged Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 2-1 away, and beat Hapoel Migdal Haemeq 3-2 on the road. Their only blip was a 3-2 home loss to Tzeirey Tamra. This strong away form makes them a dangerous opponent.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between these two sides, with zero wins, draws, or losses recorded for either team. This will be their first meeting, so past encounters offer no guidance.

Win Probability: Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot or Hapoel Nof HaGalil?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot win: 30%
• Draw: 25%
• Hapoel Nof HaGalil win: 45%

The odds imply a very even match (home 2.25, draw 2.20, away 3.25), which after removing the bookmaker margin gives roughly 37% home, 38% draw, 25% away. However, Hapoel Nof HaGalil’s far superior recent form—four wins in five, including three away victories—shifts the balance significantly in their favor. The home side’s inconsistent results and lack of a head-to-head edge further support an away win as the most likely outcome. Therefore, Hapoel Nof HaGalil has a 45% chance of winning, making them the favorites.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this fixture are: home win at 2.25, draw at 2.20, and away win at 3.25. These prices reflect a tight contest, but the value appears to lie with the away side given their strong form. Our prediction: an away win for Hapoel Nof HaGalil, though a low-scoring affair is possible. Based on the stats, bettors may find the away win odds attractive.