Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Raanana prediction 12 October 2026

Our Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Hapoel Raanana prediction for this Liga Leumit match on Oct 12 at 17:00 sees Hapoel Kfar Shalem as the favorite, holding a 41% win probability versus Hapoel Raanana's 33%. The odds are tight, but home advantage and recent form give Kfar Shalem a crucial edge.

Team Form

Hapoel Kfar Shalem's last five matches show a balanced run: two wins (against Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 3-1, Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1), two draws (3-3 at Hapoel Afula, 3-3 vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth), and one heavy 4-0 defeat at SC Ashdod. They have scored 11 goals in this period, though defensive lapses led to 12 conceded.

Hapoel Raanana has collected nine points from their last five fixtures. Their sequence reads L, W, L, W, W, with away wins at Maccabi Bnei Raina (2-1) and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (3-1). A 6-1 home thrashing of Hapoel Kfar Saba shows their attacking potential, but home losses to MS Kafr Qasim (1-2) and Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat (0-1) reveal inconsistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five H2H meetings favor Hapoel Kfar Shalem with 3 wins to Hapoel Raanana's 2, with no draws in this recent sample. Notably, Kfar Shalem took the last two encounters: a 2-1 home win on Jan 19 and a 3-1 away victory on Sep 15. Hapoel Raanana's last win was a dominant 4-0 scoreline back in May 2021. The average goals per game across these five matches is 2.8, suggesting this fixture often delivers entertainment.

League Table Positions

In the Liga Leumit standings, Hapoel Raanana sits 6th with 15 points from 8 games, while Hapoel Kfar Shalem is 7th with 14 points from the same number of matches. Raanana's goal difference stands at +8, and Kfar Shalem's is level at 0. At home, Kfar Shalem rank 3rd in the league table, unbeaten with 10 points from 4 matches. Raanana's away form is also strong, placing them 5th with 9 points from 4 trips. This close proximity in the table suggests a tight contest.

Win Probability: Hapoel Kfar Shalem or Hapoel Raanana?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we have calculated the win probability for each outcome. Hapoel Kfar Shalem has a 41% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Hapoel Raanana has a 33% chance. Kfar Shalem gets the edge due to their strong home record and consecutive H2H victories, but Raanana's effective away form keeps the probabilities close.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer tight odds: Hapoel Kfar Shalem's home win is available at 2.80, the draw at 2.40, and an away win for Hapoel Raanana at 2.62. Alternative quotes include 2.75 – 2.38 – 2.60. The odds imply a very open encounter. Based on the stats and head-to-head edge, Hapoel Kfar Shalem appears the more likely winner, with both teams scoring a strong possibility given Kfar Shalem's recent high-scoring draws and Raanana's ability to find the net on the road.