Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Raanana prediction 28 September 2026

This Hapoel Raanana vs Maccabi Bnei Raina prediction covers the Liga Leumit fixture on September 28, 2026, at 17:45. Based on current form, head-to-head record, and the latest bookmaker odds, Maccabi Bnei Raina enters the match as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The draw stands at 25%, while Hapoel Raanana has a 30% chance of an away victory.

Team Form

Maccabi Bnei Raina come into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results read W-W-W-L-W, including a 2-0 away win at Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa on September 17 and a 4-2 home victory over Hapoel Afula. The only blip was a 2-1 home loss to SC Ashdod on August 31, but overall they have won four of five.

Hapoel Raanana's recent form is L-W-W-L-W. The most recent outing was a 1-0 home defeat to Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat on September 17, ending a two-match winning streak. Before that, they thrashed Hapoel Kfar Saba 6-1 at home and beat Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 3-1 away. Both sides are capable of scoring, with Raanana netting 16 goals in six league matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice in recent seasons, both in Liga Leumit. Maccabi Bnei Raina won both encounters without conceding a draw. On February 11, 2022, Maccabi Bnei Raina beat Hapoel Raanana 2-0 away, and earlier on October 22, 2021, they secured a 2-0 home victory. The head-to-head totals show 2 home wins for Maccabi Bnei Raina and 0 for Hapoel Raanana, with no draws.

League Table Positions

Both clubs are tightly packed in the Liga Leumit standings. Hapoel Raanana sit 6th with 12 points from 6 games (4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; 16 goals scored, 8 conceded). Maccabi Bnei Raina are just behind in 7th, also with 12 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; 11 goals scored, 9 conceded). The away standings show Maccabi Bnei Raina in 3rd place with a perfect away record of 3 wins from 3, scoring 5 and conceding only 1. Hapoel Raanana are 7th in the away ranking with 2 wins and 1 loss on the road.

Win Probability: Hapoel Raanana or Maccabi Bnei Raina?

After normalizing the odds to remove the bookmaker margin and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head dominance, and home advantage, the probability breakdown is as follows: Maccabi Bnei Raina has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Hapoel Raanana has a 30% chance. These numbers reflect Maccabi Bnei Raina’s superior H2H record (2 wins in 2 meetings), an unblemished away league form that boosts confidence at home, and Hapoel Raanana’s inconsistent recent results. While both sides are level on points, the underlying data points toward a narrow home favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive encounter. One leading market shows odds of 2.22 for a Maccabi Bnei Raina home win, 3.70 for the draw, and 3.08 for an away victory. Other books quote home odds as low as 2.10. Based on the stats, Maccabi Bnei Raina is likely to extend their perfect H2H run, but Hapoel Raanana’s scoring ability (16 goals in 6 games) makes the draw a realistic possibility. The safest betting tip leans towards a home win, but with a modest probability advantage.