Hapoel Raanana - MS Kafr Qasim prediction 1 October 2026

Hapoel Raanana vs MS Kafr Qasim prediction for the Liga Leumit match on Oct 1, 2026, at 17:00. Based on data, Hapoel Raanana holds a 45% win probability, with the draw at 35% and MS Kafr Qasim at 20%, making the home side the clear favorite.

Team Form

Hapoel Raanana's recent form across five matches reads W, L, W, W, L. In their last outing, they secured a 2-1 away win against Maccabi Bnei Raina on Sep 28. The home defeat to Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat (0-1) on Sep 17 broke a two-match winning run that included a dominant 6-1 home victory over Hapoel Kfar Saba. Overall, the team has scored 18 goals in 7 league games.

MS Kafr Qasim managed W, W, L, D, D in their last five. A 1-0 away win at Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat on Sep 28 was a timely boost. However, a 1-0 defeat at Maccabi Herzliya on Sep 14 and back-to-back 0-0 draws against Maccabi Herzliya (Sep 10) and Ironi Modiin (Sep 7) highlight a lack of consistent firepower.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head heavily favors Hapoel Raanana: 4 wins for the home side, 8 draws, and 0 wins for MS Kafr Qasim in their previous meetings. The last encounter on May 19, 2026, ended 2-2 at Hapoel Raanana. In fact, three of the last four matches have ended level, but the away side's sole away win in this series came in October 2025 when Hapoel Raanana won 2-0 at MS Kafr Qasim. The historical data underlines the lopsided nature of this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the Liga Leumit standings, Hapoel Raanana sit 4th with 15 points from 7 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; goals 18:9). MS Kafr Qasim are 9th with 10 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses; goals 10:7). Home and away splits further separate them: Hapoel Raanana have collected 6 points from 3 home games (2 wins, 1 loss), while MS Kafr Qasim's away record is significantly weaker—their three wins this season all came at home; on the road, they have drawn twice and lost once, netting a single away goal.

Win Probability: Hapoel Raanana or MS Kafr Qasim?

Hapoel Raanana has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and MS Kafr Qasim has a 20% chance. These probabilities are derived from bookmaker odds (home 2.10, draw 2.30, away 3.50) after removing the margin, then adjusting for the overwhelming head-to-head advantage (no losses in 12 meetings for MS Kafr Qasim, yet 8 draws), recent form, and the home team's superior league position and goal difference. The data consistently points toward a home win, but the frequency of draws in this fixture keeps the draw probability relatively high.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer 1X2 odds of 2.10 for a Hapoel Raanana victory, 2.30 for a draw, and 3.50 for an MS Kafr Qasim win (other books show variations, e.g., 2.02/2.15/3.60). Based on the stats, Hapoel Raanana emerges as the most likely winner. The head-to-head series, their higher scoring rate, and home advantage all strengthen the case. Nevertheless, with 8 draws in 12 meetings, the safety of the double chance (1X) or backing the home side to win could be prudent. The final prediction leans towards a Hapoel Raanana win, but the value might be in the draw given the history.