Hapoel Ramat Gan - Maccabi Petah Tikva prediction 24 October 2026

Our Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva prediction for the Israeli Premier League match on Oct 24, 2026, at 17:00 (Ramat Gan Stadium) points to an evenly balanced contest between two struggling sides. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we give Hapoel Ramat Gan a 35% chance of winning, a 35% probability for a draw, and Maccabi Petah Tikva a 30% chance of taking the three points.

Team Form

Hapoel Ramat Gan have produced mixed results in their last five league outings (W‑L‑L‑W‑L). They secured a solid 2‑0 away win at Hapoel Haifa on Oct 17 and a 2‑0 home victory against Maccabi Netanya on Sep 14, but suffered heavy defeats to Hapoel Tel Aviv (4‑0), Beitar Jerusalem (4‑0), and a narrow 1‑0 loss to Bnei Sakhnin. That gives them two wins in five, though defensive frailties have been exposed in the bigger defeats.

Maccabi Petah Tikva come into this match in alarmingly poor form, having lost all of their last five matches. They were beaten at home by Maccabi Haifa (2‑1), away to Hapoel Haifa (2‑1), suffered a 4‑2 home loss to Hapoel Jerusalem, and defeats to Beitar Jerusalem (3‑1) and Ironi Tiberias (2‑1). With no points from the last five, confidence will be extremely low.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record shows Maccabi Petah Tikva with a clear advantage: 6 wins to Hapoel Ramat Gan’s 3, with 2 draws. However, the last two encounters – both in 2026 – finished as draws (1‑1 in May and 2‑2 in January). Before that, Maccabi Petah Tikva had won three in a row, including a 3‑0 away win in September 2025. The recent draws suggest the gap has narrowed, and the pair are currently very evenly matched.

League Table Positions

Both clubs are anchored near the foot of the Premier League table. After 7 games, Maccabi Petah Tikva sit 11th with 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses, goals scored 10, conceded 15). Hapoel Ramat Gan are 12th, also on 6 points (2 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses, 6 goals for, 13 against). Hapoel Ramat Gan have the slightly worse goal difference, but home advantage could be decisive in a match where both desperately need points to climb away from the bottom.

Win Probability: Hapoel Ramat Gan or Maccabi Petah Tikva?

Using bookmaker odds as a base and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head data, we calculate the following probabilities for this match:

• Hapoel Ramat Gan win: 35%
• Draw: 35%
• Maccabi Petah Tikva win: 30%

The odds imply a slight favour for the away side, but Maccabi Petah Tikva’s five-game losing streak and Hapoel Ramat Gan’s two recent wins shift some probability toward the home team and the draw. The head-to-head record, with its last two draws, further supports the view that this match is too close to call with a high chance of a stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

The prematch odds from four bookmakers show average prices of 2.77 for a home win, 2.56 for the draw, and 2.50 for an away win. Bookmakers see Maccabi Petah Tikva as the marginal favourite, but the market is very tight – a slight move in either direction can change the picture.

Based on the stats, our Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva prediction is that a draw looks the most value outcome. Neither team has shown consistent form, both defences are leaking goals, and the recent H2H meetings have ended level. A low-scoring draw, possibly 1‑1, fits the data best.