Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Petach Tikva prediction 18 September 2026
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Petach Tikva
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24:8 | +16 | 20 |
| 2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Maccabi Haifa | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:9 | +9 | 18 |
| 4 |  Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Beitar Jerusalem | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Bnei Sakhnin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Maccabi Netanya | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Maccabi Petah Tikva | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Hapoel Haifa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ironi Tiberias | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 |  Hapoel Jerusalem | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 |  Hapoel Ramat Gan | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 6 |
| 13 | Hapoel Petach Tikva | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 14 |  Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | 3 |
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petach Tikva Prediction (Sep 18)
Our Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petach Tikva prediction for the Premier League match on Sep 18 at 12:45 is a home win. Hapoel Tel Aviv has a 64% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Hapoel Petach Tikva has a 13% chance.
Team Form
Hapoel Tel Aviv's last five results are L, W, W, D, L. They lost 4-1 away to Maccabi Tel Aviv on Sep 14, but before that they beat Hapoel Ramat Gan 4-0 and Beitar Jerusalem 3-0 at home. A 0-0 draw at Hapoel Haifa and a 0-1 loss to Atalanta in the UEFA Conference League Qualification complete the picture. Hapoel Petach Tikva's form reads L, L, W, L, W. They lost 0-2 at home to Hapoel Be'er Sheva on Sep 13 and 1-2 away to Maccabi Haifa. Their only league win in this run was 1-0 at home to Hapoel Jerusalem.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last five meetings, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 3, Hapoel Petach Tikva won 0, and 2 were draws. The overall H2H record across all matches shows 7 home wins, 3 draws, and 3 away wins. The most recent clash on May 12 ended 1-0 to Hapoel Tel Aviv. Earlier in 2026, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 1-0 away and drew 0-0 away. A 4-0 home win in December 2025 underlines their dominance in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Hapoel Tel Aviv sit 3rd in the Premier League with 7 points from 4 matches (2W, 1D, 1L), scoring 8 and conceding 4. At home they are perfect: 2 wins from 2, 7 goals scored, 0 conceded. Hapoel Petach Tikva are 10th with 3 points (1W, 0D, 3L), scoring only 2 goals and conceding 5. Away from home they have lost both league matches so far.
Win Probability: Hapoel Tel Aviv or Hapoel Petach Tikva?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Hapoel Tel Aviv win 64%, draw 23%, Hapoel Petach Tikva win 13%. The bookmaker odds (average home win around 1.36) imply a home win probability near 70% before removing the margin. Adjusting for Hapoel Tel Aviv's perfect home record, Hapoel Petach Tikva's poor away form, and the dominant H2H (3 wins in last 5, 0 defeats), the home side is clearly the most likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Hapoel Tel Aviv as the strong favorite. The best available odds are 1.25 for a home win, 2.40 for the draw, and 6.50 for an away win. Based on the stats, Hapoel Tel Aviv's solid home defense (0 goals conceded) and Hapoel Petach Tikva's struggles on the road make the home win the most probable outcome. Our Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petach Tikva prediction is a home victory.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petach Tikva โ FAQ
- Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petach Tikva?
- Hapoel Tel Aviv are the clear favorites to win. Our calculated probabilities give Hapoel Tel Aviv a 64% chance, the draw 23%, and Hapoel Petach Tikva a 13% chance. This is based on Hapoel Tel Aviv's perfect home record, Hapoel Petach Tikva's poor away form, and a dominant head-to-head record.
- What is the win probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv?
- Hapoel Tel Aviv has a 64% chance of winning this match. This high probability reflects their 3rd-place league position, 7 goals scored and 0 conceded at home this season, and 3 wins in the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
- When is the Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petach Tikva match?
- The match is on Sep 18 at 12:45. It is a Premier League fixture in Israel.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win range from 1.25 to 1.40 across bookmakers. The draw is priced around 2.40 to 2.60, and an away win for Hapoel Petach Tikva is available at 5.70 to 6.50.