Hartpury University FC - Worcester Raiders prediction 22 September 2026

The Hartpury University FC vs Worcester Raiders prediction for the Southern Division One match on Sep 22, 2026, at 19:45 points to a tightly contested affair. With both teams showing contrasting recent form, our analysis suggests Hartpury University FC holds a narrow edge thanks to home advantage. According to the latest data and odds, Hartpury University FC has a 35% win probability, Worcester Raiders has a 30% chance, and a draw is set at 35%.

Team Form

Hartpury University FC enters this match in poor form, failing to win any of their last five fixtures (L, D, D, L, L). Here are their recent results:

• Apr 14, 2026: Hartpury University FC 0–1 Mousehole (Southern Division One)
• Jan 13, 2026: Hartpury University FC 3–3 Shaftesbury Town (Southern Division One)
• Oct 4, 2025: Hartpury University FC 0–0 Gloucester City (FA Trophy)
• Oct 1, 2025: Larkhall Athletic 3–1 Hartpury University FC (Southern Division One)
• Sep 23, 2025: Falmouth Town AFC 3–2 Hartpury University FC (Southern Division One)

Over these five matches, Hartpury scored 6 goals and conceded 10, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Worcester Raiders, on the other hand, have only two recorded recent outings, both positive: a 4–0 home win over Slimbridge on Sep 15, 2026, and a 0–0 away draw at Bishop's Cleeve on Aug 11, 2026. The 4–0 victory highlighted their attacking potential, while the clean sheet at Bishop's Cleeve showed defensive solidity. They are unbeaten and yet to concede in their last two.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Hartpury University FC and Worcester Raiders. The data shows zero previous meetings, making this encounter a first-time clash with no historical patterns to analyze.

League Table Positions

In the Southern Division One standings, Hartpury University FC holds 7th place with 66 points after 41 matches (20 W, 6 D, 15 L). They've scored 83 goals and conceded 55, enjoying a +28 goal difference. Their home record stands at 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses from 20 contests—a decent but not dominant home form. Interestingly, Hartpury’s away form (10 W, 2 D, 9 L from 21 games) placed them 5th in the away standings, indicating they perform better on the road than at home recently. Worcester Raiders are not listed in the available league table, so their current season standing remains unknown. However, Hartpury’s mid-table security contrasts with the visitors’ uncertain league position.

Win Probability: Hartpury University FC vs Worcester Raiders Prediction

Based on the bookmakers' odds, recent performances, and home advantage, the win probabilities for this fixture are: Hartpury University FC win — 35%, draw — 35%, Worcester Raiders win — 30%. The odds implied a home win chance near 38%, but Hartpury's poor recent run (0 wins in five) reduced that figure. Worcester’s unbeaten mini-streak, albeit from a small sample, boosted their share. With Hartpury’s mid-table stability and the lack of H2H data, the match is poised as a genuine three-way contest, but a draw emerges as a very likely result.

Odds & Betting Tips

Two bookmakers provide the following odds: one offers 2.38 for a Hartpury win, 2.75 for a draw, and 3.20 for a Worcester win; the other lists 2.38, 2.50, and 3.30 respectively. These prices indicate that the market views Hartpury as a slight favorite but far from a sure thing. Considering all available data, the best betting tip is to back the draw at odds around 2.50–2.75, as it matches the statistical outlook of a balanced fixture.

Match prediction: The most probable outcome is a draw (35%), with Hartpury University FC narrowly edging the possibility of a home win. A low-scoring stalemate or a 1–0 either way would not surprise.