Hassania Agadir - Maghreb AS de Fes prediction 3 October 2026
Hassania Agadir
Maghreb AS de FesHassania Agadir
FAR RabatRenaissance ZemamraHassania AgadirHassania AgadirMaghreb AS de FesKawkab MarrakechHassania AgadirHassania AgadirKawkab MarrakechRaja CasablancaHassania AgadirHassania AgadirRenaissance ZemamraCODM MeknesHassania AgadirHassania AgadirUnion TouargaUS Yacoub MansourHassania AgadirHassania AgadirRSB BerkaneOlympique DcheiraHassania AgadirHassania AgadirFUS de RabatWydad CasablancaHassania AgadirHassania AgadirFAR RabatASEC MimosasMaghreb AS de FesMaghreb AS de FesASEC MimosasIttihad TangerMaghreb AS de FesMaghreb AS de FesRaja CasablancaHassania AgadirMaghreb AS de FesMaghreb AS de FesRenaissance ZemamraRahimoMaghreb AS de FesMaghreb AS de FesRahimoMaghreb AS de FesOlympique DcheiraKawkab MarrakechMaghreb AS de FesMaghreb AS de FesUS Yacoub MansourWydad CasablancaMaghreb AS de FesMaghreb AS de FesRSB BerkaneMaghreb AS de FesDifaa El JadidaFUS de RabatMaghreb AS de FesHassania AgadirMaghreb AS de FesMaghreb AS de FesHassania AgadirHassania AgadirMaghreb AS de FesHassania AgadirMaghreb AS de FesHassania AgadirMaghreb AS de FesHassania AgadirMaghreb AS de FesMaghreb AS de FesHassania AgadirHassania AgadirMaghreb AS de Fes| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CODM Meknes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Kawkab Marrakech | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Wydad Casablanca | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 8 |
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 |  Ittihad Tanger | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | Maghreb AS de Fes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Difaa El Jadida | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 |  Union Touarga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  Wydad Sportif Temara | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:4 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Raja Casablanca | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 |  FUS de Rabat | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  FAR Rabat | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 13 |  US Amal Tiznit | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 |  RSB Berkane | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 |  Moghreb Tetouan | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 |  Renaissance Zemamra | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb AS de Fes Prediction (Oct 3)
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb AS de Fes prediction looks ahead to the Botola match on Oct 3, 2026, at 17:00 local time. Bookmakers and our win probability model point to a tight contest, where a draw is the most probable outcome at 40%, while Maghreb AS de Fes holds a slim edge (36%) over the home side (24%).
Team Form
Hassania Agadir's recent form shows inconsistency: a 3โ2 away win at Kawkab Marrakech on Sep 27, preceded by a run of three draws and one loss. Their last five results read W, D, L, D, D, leaving them with only one victory in that stretch.
Maghreb AS de Fes, by contrast, enter with stronger momentum โ a 2โ1 home victory over Renaissance Zemamra on Sep 27 and a 0โ0 away draw in the CAF Champions League. Their last five results: W, D, W, W, D. Across all competitions, they have three wins and two draws in that period.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall H2H record across seven meetings slightly favours Maghreb AS de Fes: 3 away wins for MAS, 2 home wins for Hassania Agadir, and 2 draws. The two most recent encounters were emphatically in MAS's favour โ a 4โ0 home win on Apr 29, 2026, and a 2โ0 away win on Sep 20, 2025. The last time Hassania Agadir beat MAS was a 2โ1 home win in December 2023.
League Table Positions
Both teams have played just one Botola match this season and won, so they sit on 3 points each. Hassania Agadir are 4th overall (3โ2 win away), while Maghreb AS de Fes are 5th (2โ1 win at home). No home games yet for Hassania Agadir and no away games for Maghreb AS de Fes, so the early table doesn't provide a clear home/away advantage.
Win Probability: Hassania Agadir or Maghreb AS de Fes?
Our probability calculation combines bookmaker odds (inverse of the three-way market, margin-normalised), home/away factor, recent form and head-to-head data. The numbers give:
- Hassania Agadir win: 24%
- Draw: 40%
- Maghreb AS de Fes win: 36%
The draw is clearly the single most likely result, reflecting bookmakers' assessment (draw odds as low as 1.92). MAS are given a 12-percentageโpoint edge over the home side to take all three points, supported by their superior head-toโhead record and more consistent recent results. Hassania Agadir's home advantage is not yet backed by 2026/27 home form โ they have not played a home league match this season.
Odds & Match Prediction
Selected preโmatch odds show a clear market bias towards a stalemate. One bookmaker quotes 3.90 for a Hassania Agadir win, 1.95 for the draw, and 2.62 for a Maghreb AS de Fes win. The implied probabilities from these odds align with our modelโs conclusion that this fixture is more likely to end all square than to produce a winner.
Based on the stats, a draw is the most sensible prediction. Maghreb AS de Fes carry the greater threat, but Hassania Agadir playing at home may mean a share of the points is the most realistic outcome. Everything points to a lowโmargin affair, typical of Botola encounters between these sides.
Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb AS de Fes โ FAQ
- Who will win Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb AS de Fes?
- Our analysis gives a 40% probability to a draw, making it the most likely result. A Maghreb AS de Fes win stands at 36%, while Hassania Agadir have a 24% chance. The numbers suggest MAS are slightly favoured to take all three points if there is a winner, but a draw is the strongest single outcome.
- What is the win probability for Maghreb AS de Fes?
- Maghreb AS de Fes have a 36% chance to win. This is based on their strong recent form (three wins in the last five matches) and head-to-head dominance, having won the last two encounters 4โ0 and 2โ0.
- When is the Hassania Agadir vs Maghreb AS de Fes match?
- The match is on October 3, 2026, kicking off at 17:00 local time (UTC+1). It takes place as part of the Botola league in Morocco.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers have priced Hassania Agadir to win around 3.90, the draw at 1.95, and a Maghreb AS de Fes victory at 2.62. These odds reflect a market expectation that the draw is the most probable single outcome.
- What is the head-to-head record between Hassania Agadir and Maghreb AS de Fes?
- In their last seven Botola meetings, Maghreb AS de Fes won 3, Hassania Agadir 2, with 2 draws. The last two matches both ended in MAS wins โ 4โ0 at home on Apr 29, 2026, and 2โ0 away on Sep 20, 2025.