Haugesund II - Hinna prediction 28 September 2026

The Haugesund II vs Hinna prediction for this 3rd Division match on Sep 28, 2026, at 18:00 points towards a home win. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Haugesund II has a 62% chance of winning, while Hinna sits at just 15%.

Team Form

Haugesund II's last five matches show a mixed run: D, L, L, W, W. They drew 1-1 away to Madla, lost 0-3 at home to Vag, suffered a heavy 0-7 defeat at Odds BK 2, but then bounced back with a 4-3 win at Staal Jorpeland and a 4-2 home victory over Viking 2. That's two wins in the last two, suggesting a return to scoring form.

Hinna's recent form reads D, L, L, W, L. They drew 2-2 at home against Akra, lost 1-4 at home to Madla, lost 0-2 away to Vindbjart, beat Vag 3-0 at home, and lost 2-3 away to Odds BK 2. Only one win in five, with three defeats, and they've conceded multiple goals in four of those games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Haugesund II. In the last three meetings, Haugesund II have won twice and drawn once, with Hinna yet to win. The most recent clash on May 14, 2026, ended 2-2 at Hinna. Before that, Haugesund II won 1-0 at home on Sep 30, 2025, and 1-0 away on Jun 2, 2025. Overall, Haugesund II have scored 4 goals to Hinna's 2 in these three encounters.

League Table Positions

Neither Haugesund II nor Hinna appear in the top 12 of the 3rd Division standings provided. This indicates both teams are positioned lower in the league table, with the available data showing Asker leading the division with 55 points from 20 matches.

Win Probability: Haugesund II or Hinna?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the win probabilities are:

• Haugesund II win: 62%
• Draw: 23%
• Hinna win: 15%

These percentages are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home 1.48, draw 3.81, away 5.80), with the implied probabilities normalized to remove the margin. The adjustment reflects Haugesund II's unbeaten H2H record and their two recent wins, while Hinna's poor away form and defensive issues reduce their chances. Home advantage further strengthens Haugesund II's position as the clear favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Haugesund II as the strong favorite. The pre-match 1X2 odds range from 1.30 to 1.63 for a home win, with the draw priced between 3.30 and 5.35, and an away win at 4.80 to 6.50. These odds imply a high probability of a home victory. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Haugesund II win, with a low-scoring match possible given the historical tight scorelines. However, both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, so goals could be on the cards. The prediction is a home win, with Haugesund II expected to control the game and capitalize on Hinna's leaky defense.