Sandnes Ulf - Haugesund prediction 11 October 2026

The Sandnes Ulf vs Haugesund prediction for the 1 Division match on October 11, 2026, points to an away win. Haugesund enters as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while Sandnes Ulf has just a 15% chance of victory. The match kicks off at 16:00 local time at Sandnes Ulf's home ground.

Team Form

Sandnes Ulf's recent form has been inconsistent, with results of D, L, W, L, D in their last five matches. They drew 3-3 at Strommen, lost 1-2 at home to Moss, won 2-1 at Arendal in the Cup, lost 1-4 at Stromsgodset, and drew 1-1 at home against Ranheim. Haugesund, on the other hand, is in outstanding form with five consecutive wins: 2-0 vs Stabaek, 4-2 vs Strommen, 4-1 at Moss, 4-0 at Djerv 1919 in the Cup, and 2-0 vs Sogndal. The visitors have scored 16 goals in these five games and conceded only 3.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last six meetings between these teams, Sandnes Ulf has failed to win, with 0 victories, 2 draws, and 4 wins for Haugesund. The most recent competitive clash was on May 1, 2026, in the 1 Division, where Haugesund won 2-0 at home. A friendly on March 30, 2026, ended 2-2. Haugesund has clearly dominated this fixture, especially in official matches.

League Table Positions

Haugesund sits at the top of the 1 Division table with 55 points from 24 matches (18 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses), having scored 74 goals and conceded 39. Sandnes Ulf is 12th with 25 points (7 wins, 4 draws, 13 losses), scoring 35 and conceding 45. The 30-point gap reflects the gulf in class between the two sides this season.

Win Probability: Sandnes Ulf or Haugesund?

Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, the win probabilities are: Sandnes Ulf 15%, draw 25%, Haugesund 60%. Bookmakers' odds implied roughly a 45% chance for an away win, but Haugesund's perfect five-match winning streak, dominant H2H record (4 wins in 6), and top position in the league justify a higher probability. Sandnes Ulf's home advantage is offset by their poor form and lowly league position. Haugesund is the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds around 4.00 for a Sandnes Ulf home win, 2.70 for a draw, and 2.00 for a Haugesund away victory. These odds reflect Haugesund as the favorite. Based on the stats, Haugesund is expected to secure the three points. The prediction is an away win, with a possible scoreline of 2-0 or 3-1 given the visitors' scoring form and Sandnes Ulf's defensive struggles.