Ario - Havadar SC prediction 28 September 2026
Ario
Havadar SCArio
Palayesh Naft Bandar AbbasArioBesat KermanshahMes RafsanjanArioArioHavadar SCNaft GachsaranArioArioNaft Masjed SoleymanNassaji MazandaranArioDamash GilanArioArioBesat KermanshahSaipaArioArioPalayesh Naft Bandar AbbasNiroye ZaminiArioArioShahrdari NoshahrNavad Urmia FCArioArioMes KermanFard Alborz FCHavadar SCPalayesh Naft Bandar AbbasHavadar SCArioHavadar SCHavadar SCBesat KermanshahMes RafsanjanHavadar SCNassaji MazandaranHavadar SCHavadar SCDamash GilanBesat KermanshahHavadar SCHavadar SCMes KermanSaipaHavadar SCHavadar SCNavad Urmia FCNiroye ZaminiHavadar SCHavadar SCSanat Naft AbadanFC Pars Jonoubi Jam BushehrHavadar SCHavadar SCFard Alborz FCArioHavadar SCArioHavadar SCHavadar SCArio| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shenavar Sazi Qeshm | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 15 |
| 2 |  Mes Rafsanjan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  FC Pars Jonoubi Jam Bushehr | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | Ario | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 |  Fard Alborz FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Mes Soongoun Varzaghan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 |  Saipa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Naft Masjed Soleyman | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Besat Kermanshah | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Novin Ahvaz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Shahin Bandar Ameri | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Naft Gachsaran | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 |  Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mes Kerman | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Niroye Zamini | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 16 | Havadar SC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1:10 | -9 | 2 |
Ario vs Havadar SC Prediction (Sep 28)
Our Ario vs Havadar SC prediction for the Azadegan League match on Sep 28, 2026, at 14:30 points to a tightly contested battle where a draw is the most probable result with 40% probability, while both sides have an equal 30% chance of claiming victory.
Team Form
Ario have posted a mixed run with three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five outings (W, L, W, D, W). On Sep 22 they won 1-0 away at Naft Gachsaran, but then suffered a heavy 0-3 home defeat to Naft Masjed Soleyman. Earlier victories came against Nassaji Mazandaran (2-1 away) and Besat Kermanshah (2-0 at home), plus a 1-1 draw at Damash Gilan.
Havadar SC arrive with stronger momentum, having recorded three consecutive wins after a draw and a loss (L, D, W, W, W). Their latest outing ended in a surprise 0-3 home loss to Besat Kermanshah on Sep 22. Before that, they drew 0-0 at Mes Rafsanjan, beat Nassaji Mazandaran 0-2 away, crushed Damash Gilan 4-1 at home and edged Besat Kermanshah 0-1 away.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met only twice before. The most recent H2H clash on Feb 2, 2026, ended 0-0 in Ario's home ground. In the earlier fixture on Sep 10, 2025, Havadar SC ran out 2-0 winners at home. So far, the record stands at one win for Havadar SC and one draw, with no victory for Ario.
League Table Positions
Ario currently sit 9th in the Azadegan League standings with 3 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 loss), scoring once and conceding three times. Havadar SC's position is not listed among the top 12 in the available table data, so no direct point comparison can be made.
Win Probability: Ario or Havadar SC?
Based on our analysis that combines available odds, form, head-to-head record and home advantage, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:
- Ario win: 30%
- Draw: 40%
- Havadar SC win: 30%
Bookmakers' raw implied probabilities (using the first market odds of 2.70/1.85/4.75) heavily favour a draw (48%) and give Ario 33% and Havadar SC only 19%. However, Havadar SC's strong recent form (three straight wins) and their positive head-to-head result lead us to a more balanced assessment, though the draw remains the single most likely outcome. Consequently, neither side emerges as a clear favourite โ a stalemate is the most probable result.
Odds & Match Prediction
The leading bookmaker lines for this fixture show Ario win at 2.70, a draw at 1.85 and Havadar SC win at 4.75. A second bookmaker quotes slightly different prices (2.55/1.88/5.00), but the pattern remains the same โ the draw is the shortest price, reflecting market expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair.
Taking all the stats into account, our final Ario vs Havadar SC prediction is a draw with both teams equally likely to snatch a win. Backing the stalemate at odds around 1.85 represents solid value on the betting tips market, while a cautious anytime-goalscorer bet could also appeal given the teams' inconsistent defensive records. Always gamble responsibly.
Ario vs Havadar SC โ FAQ
- Who will win Ario vs Havadar SC?
- Our analysis indicates the match is too close to call a definite winner. A draw has a 40% probability, while Ario and Havadar SC each hold a 30% chance of victory, making a stalemate the most likely outcome.
- What is the win probability for Ario?
- Ario's win probability stands at 30%. Although they are the home side, their inconsistent recent form and Havadar SC's stronger head-to-head record balance the scales, leaving a draw as the most probable result.
- When is the Ario vs Havadar SC match?
- The Azadegan League fixture is set for September 28, 2026, kicking off at 14:30 local time (BST/GMT+1). The game will be played in Iran.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 2.70 for an Ario home win, 1.85 for a draw and 4.75 for Havadar SC to win. A second market quotes similar figures (2.55/1.88/5.00), consistently showing the draw as the favourite selection.
- What is the H2H record between Ario and Havadar SC?
- The two teams have met twice: a 0-0 draw at Ario's ground on Feb 2, 2026, and a 2-0 home win for Havadar SC on Sep 10, 2025. Havadar SC lead the mini-head-to-head with one win and one draw.