Hawassa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank prediction 22 October 2026
Hawassa City
Ethiopia Nigd BankHawassa CityEthiopia Nigd BankHawassa City
Ethiopian Insurance MedhinHawassa CityMekelakeya Defence Force SCHawassa CityAdama City KenemaEthio ElectricHawassa CityHawassa CityBahir Dar KenemaNegelle ArsiHawassa CityHawassa CityEthiopia BunnaSaint George SCHawassa CityHawassa CityArba Minch KenemaHadiya HossanaHawassa CityHawassa CitySheger KetemaEthiopian Insurance MedhinHawassa CityMekelakeya Defence Force SCHawassa CityHawassa CityShire Endaselassie FCGamo ChenchaEthiopia Nigd BankHawassa CityEthiopia Nigd BankMekelakeya Defence Force SCEthiopia Nigd BankCafe Sidama BunnaEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankBahir Dar KenemaNegelle ArsiEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia BunnaAdama City KenemaEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankEthio ElectricHadiya HossanaEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankSheger KetemaEthiopian Insurance MedhinEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankSaint George SCArba Minch KenemaEthiopia Nigd BankWelwalo AdigratEthiopia Nigd BankHawassa CityEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankHawassa CityHawassa CityEthiopia Nigd BankHawassa CityEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankHawassa CityHawassa CityEthiopia Nigd Bank| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Negelle Arsi | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Ethio Electric | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Bahir Dar Kenema | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Mekelakeya Defence Force SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Wolaita Dicha | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 5 |
| 7 |  Sheger Ketema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Adama City Kenema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 |  Halaba Ketema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 |  Ethiopian Insurance Medhin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Hadiya Hossana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 |  Saint George SC | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Ethiopia Bunna | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Hawassa City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Fasil Kenema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 |  Gamo Chencha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 |  Cafe Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Hawassa City vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank Prediction (Oct 22)
Hawassa City vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank prediction for the Premier League match on Oct 22, 2026. Based on our analysis, the draw is the most likely outcome with a 50% probability, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank has a 30% chance of winning and Hawassa City just 20%. Bookmakers also see the draw as the clear favorite, offering odds as low as 1.75.
Team Form
Hawassa City are struggling for wins. Their last five matches have produced three draws and two defeats (D, L, L, D, D). At home, they drew 1-1 with Ethiopian Insurance Medhin on Oct 17, lost 0-1 to Mekelakeya Defence Force SC on Oct 11, and were beaten 2-3 by Adama City Kenema back in July. They have not won any of their last five outings and have managed just one goal in their last two home games.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank, on the other hand, are in excellent shape. Their last five results read W, W, D, L, D. They recorded back-to-back away wins in October: 1-0 at Mekelakeya Defence Force SC on Oct 18 and 1-0 at Cafe Sidama Bunna on Oct 11. The only recent blip was a 0-2 loss at Negelle Arsi in June, but they have otherwise been solid, keeping clean sheets in those two away victories.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record strongly favours Ethiopia Nigd Bank. In the last five meetings, Ethiopia Nigd Bank have won three, Hawassa City have won one, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent clash, on Mar 14, 2026, saw Ethiopia Nigd Bank thrash Hawassa City 4-2 at home. Hawassa City's only win in this sequence came in April 2025, a 2-1 home victory. Overall, Ethiopia Nigd Bank have outscored Hawassa City 10-5 across those five matches.
League Table Positions
Ethiopia Nigd Bank sit top of the Premier League with a perfect record: 2 wins from 2 matches, 6 points, 2 goals scored and none conceded. They are the only team yet to drop a point. Hawassa City, by contrast, are outside the top 12 in the overall standings. In the home table, they are 6th with just 1 point from 2 home games (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 1 goal scored, 2 conceded). The gap in form and league position is significant.
Win Probability: Hawassa City or Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- Hawassa City win: 20%
- Draw: 50%
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank win: 30%
The draw is the single most likely result, reflecting the low odds offered by bookmakers. However, Ethiopia Nigd Bank's superior form, dominant H2H record, and top position in the league give them a clear edge over Hawassa City. Hawassa City's poor home form (no wins in two) further reduces their chances. Therefore, while a stalemate is the most probable outcome, Ethiopia Nigd Bank are more likely to win than the hosts.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced this match with a strong draw bias. The available odds are:
- Hawassa City win: 3.30 โ 3.40
- Draw: 1.75 โ 1.80
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank win: 3.75
The extremely short odds on the draw indicate that the market expects a tight, low-scoring affair. Based on the stats, a draw is the most likely result, but Ethiopia Nigd Bank could snatch a narrow win given their current momentum. A 1-1 draw or a 0-1 away win are the most realistic scorelines.
Hawassa City vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank โ FAQ
- Who will win Hawassa City vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
- According to our probability model, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 50% chance. Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 30% chance of winning, while Hawassa City have just a 20% chance. Ethiopia Nigd Bank are the favourites to take all three points if there is a winner.
- What is the win probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 30% win probability. This is based on their strong away form (two consecutive 1-0 wins), their top position in the league, and a dominant head-to-head record against Hawassa City.
- When is the Hawassa City vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank match?
- The match kicks off on Oct 22, 2026, at 13:00 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in Ethiopia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are: Hawassa City win at 3.40, draw at 1.75, and Ethiopia Nigd Bank win at 3.75. These odds highlight the draw as the clear favourite in the betting market.
- What is the head-to-head record between Hawassa City and Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
- In the last five meetings, Ethiopia Nigd Bank have won three times, Hawassa City once, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent game, on Mar 14, 2026, finished 4-2 to Ethiopia Nigd Bank.