HB Koge - AB Gladsaxe prediction 16 October 2026

Our HB Koge vs AB Gladsaxe prediction for this 1st Division match on Oct 16 at 18:00 is that AB Gladsaxe are the favorites. Based on the odds, team form, and league table positions, AB Gladsaxe has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and HB Koge has a 28% chance.

Team Form

HB Koge's recent form has been inconsistent. They have one win and four draws in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 5-2 home victory against Hobro on Sep 21. Before that, they drew 2-2 away to Esbjerg, 1-1 at home to Hillerod, 0-0 away to AaB Aalborg, and 2-2 at home to Kolding IF.

AB Gladsaxe come into this match with stronger momentum, having won three of their last five. They secured a 2-0 home win against Aarhus Fremad on Oct 9, a 3-0 home win against Esbjerg on Sep 19, and a 3-1 home cup win against Sonderjyske on Sep 16. Their two losses in this period were a 1-0 defeat away to Hillerod and a 2-0 home loss to AaB Aalborg.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between HB Koge and AB Gladsaxe is limited to one recent friendly match. On Jan 24, 2026, the teams played out a 3-3 draw in a Friendly Clubs fixture. With no competitive history to draw from, this single high-scoring draw suggests little to separate the sides historically.

League Table Positions

In the 1st Division standings, AB Gladsaxe sit 7th with 12 points from 10 matches, having scored 13 goals and conceded 10. HB Koge are 11th with 7 points from 9 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 17. The away team's superior defensive record and higher points tally give them a clear advantage. AB Gladsaxe's away form shows 4 points from 5 games, while HB Koge's home record is not available in the top 8 home standings, indicating struggles at home.

Win Probability: HB Koge or AB Gladsaxe?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probability as follows: HB Koge has a 28% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and AB Gladsaxe has a 42% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the bookmaker odds (2.75, 3.65, 2.31) as a base, normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for AB Gladsaxe's superior recent form (three wins in five) and higher league position. HB Koge's four draws in five matches increase the draw probability, but their low win rate and poor defensive record reduce their chances of a home victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds from bookmakers are: HB Koge win at 2.75, a draw at 3.65, and an AB Gladsaxe win at 2.31. These odds clearly indicate that AB Gladsaxe are the favorites to win this fixture. Considering the form guide and league table, the most likely outcome is an away win. However, HB Koge's tendency to draw matches cannot be ignored. Our prediction is that AB Gladsaxe will win, but a low-scoring draw is a plausible alternative.