FK Transinvest B - Hegelmann Litauen B prediction 11 September 2026

The FK Transinvest B vs Hegelmann Litauen II prediction for their 1 Lyga clash on September 11, 2026, points towards an away win. Based on form, league position, and head-to-head data, Hegelmann Litauen II has a 40% chance of taking all three points, while the hosts have a 35% probability and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

FK Transinvest B

The home side enters this match in poor shape. Their last five league results read: L, L, L, W, L. The only bright spot came in a 2-0 home victory over Atmosfera Mazeikiai on August 14. In the other four games, Transinvest B failed to pick up points, conceding three or more goals in three of those defeats – including a 3-0 loss at league leaders Minija Kretinga and a 4-2 defeat at BFA Vilnius. The 1-2 home loss to Lietava Jonava also highlighted defensive frailties.

Hegelmann Litauen II

The visitors bring a much more encouraging run of results. Their last five matches show three wins and two losses (W, L, W, L, W). The wins came in high-scoring fashion: 5-1 at home to FA Siauliai B, 3-2 at home to Ekranas Panevezio, and 3-1 at home to Garliava. The two defeats were both away from home – a 0-3 reverse at FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 and a 1-2 loss at Be1 NFA Kaunas. With three wins in five, Hegelmann Litauen II’s attack looks capable of troubling the home defense.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these two sides took place on May 11, 2026, in the 1 Lyga. That day, FK Transinvest B won 2-1 away at Hegelmann Litauen II. Despite the away victory, the small sample size and the contrasting form of both teams make that result a less reliable indicator for this encounter.

League Table Positions

Hegelmann Litauen II sits 12th in the overall 1 Lyga standings with 22 points from 23 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 15 losses). FK Transinvest B is not listed among the top 12 teams – a clear sign that they are positioned lower in the table. This gap in the rankings reinforces the visitors’ advantage heading into the match.

Win Probability: FK Transinvest B or Hegelmann Litauen II?

After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities are as follows:

• FK Transinvest B win: 35%
• Draw: 25%
• Hegelmann Litauen II win: 40%

These figures are derived from the bookmakers’ odds (home 2.15, draw 3.55, away 2.65) and adjusted for form, league position, and the head-to-head record. The odds implied a slight home advantage, but the hosts’ dreadful recent form (four losses in five) and their absence from the top 12 of the table forced a downward revision. Hegelmann Litauen II’s stronger run of results – three wins in the last five – and their higher league standing make them the more likely winner in this contest.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match 1X2 odds from bookmakers are: FK Transinvest B win at 2.15, a draw at 3.55, and a Hegelmann Litauen II win at 2.65. The market initially rates the hosts as the favourite, but our probability model suggests the value lies with the away side. Taking into account the visitors’ better form and the hosts’ lowly league position, the FK Transinvest B vs Hegelmann Litauen II prediction is an away victory. The 2.65 odds for a Hegelmann Litauen II win offer a solid opportunity for bettors looking for underdog value.