Ostersunds FK - Helsingborg prediction 14 September 2026

Ostersunds FK vs Helsingborg prediction for the Superettan match on Sep 14, 2026, at 17:05. Ostersunds FK are the favorites with a 55% win probability, while Helsingborg have a 20% chance, and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Ostersunds FK are unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions, recording two wins and three draws. Their most recent result was a 1-1 home draw against Brage on Sep 10. Prior to that, they secured a 1-0 away win at Orebro SK, drew 1-1 at Landskrona BoIS, played out a goalless draw at home to Ljungskile, and beat Arlanda 2-1 away in the Cup. Defensively, they have been impressive, conceding only 2 goals in those five outings.

Helsingborg have managed just one win in their last five matches (W1 D2 L2). They beat Landskrona BoIS 2-1 away on Sep 09, but then lost 0-2 at home to Sandvikens IF, drew 1-1 at home with Orebro SK, lost 3-1 away to Oddevold, and drew 1-1 at GIF Sundsvall. Their away form has been a concern, with only one win in that run and eight goals conceded in the last five overall.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these sides shows 4 home wins, 3 draws, and 3 away wins from 10 meetings. In the last five encounters, Ostersunds FK have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. At home, Ostersunds FK are unbeaten in the last two H2H matches (1 win, 1 draw), including a 1-0 victory in October 2023. The most recent meeting, in April 2026, saw Helsingborg win 2-1 at home.

League Table Positions

Ostersunds FK occupy 3rd place in the Superettan with 39 points from 23 games (10W 9D 4L), scoring 32 goals and conceding 24. Their home record is particularly strong: 6 wins, 4 draws, and only 1 loss in 11 matches, with 16 goals scored and 11 conceded. Helsingborg are 10th with 29 points (8W 5D 10L), having scored 36 goals but conceded 44. They have struggled on the road, failing to make the top 8 in the away standings, which highlights their vulnerability away from home.

Win Probability: Ostersunds FK or Helsingborg?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Ostersunds FK have a 55% chance of winning, a draw has a 25% probability, and Helsingborg have a 20% chance. The odds from bookmakers give Ostersunds FK an implied probability of 52.15% after removing the margin, but we adjust this upward to 55% due to their home dominance and Helsingborg's poor away form. The draw probability is set at 25%, reflecting Ostersunds FK's recent tendency to draw (three in last five) and the balanced H2H history. Helsingborg's 20% chance accounts for their occasional away win, but it is the least likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are 1.88 for a home win, 3.63 for the draw, and 4.70 for an away win. These odds clearly indicate that bookmakers see Ostersunds FK as the favorites. Taking into account the team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, our prediction is a home victory for Ostersunds FK.