Hercules CF - Sant Andreu prediction 12 October 2026

{ "h1": "Hercules CF vs Sant Andreu Prediction (Oct 12)", "seotext": "

Hercules CF vs Sant Andreu prediction for the Primera Federacion fixture on October 12, 2026. Kick-off is at 17:15 local time. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Hercules CF are the favorites with a 50% win probability according to our analysis.

Team Form

Hercules CF come into this match with three wins in their last five outings. The sequence (most recent first) reads: a 0-0 draw against Real Jaen (Oct3), a 1-0 away win at Aguilas FC (Sep26), a 1-0 home win over Juventud Torremolinos (Sep20), a 2-1 victory at CE Europa (Sep12), and a 0-2 home loss to Atletico Madrid B (Sep6). That's 8 points from 15, solid but not perfect. At home, the record is mixed: win, draw, loss — so they are not unbeatable.

Sant Andreu's last five: 2-2 draw vs Antequera CF (Oct4, result duplicated in data), another 2-2 vs Antequera, a 2-1 away win at Gimnastic de Tarragona (Sep26), a 1-1 home draw with Real Madrid B (Sep23), and a 0-2 away loss to UD Iiza (Sep12). Onely one win, three draws, one loss. On the road, the win in Tarragona and the heavy loss in Iiza show inconsistency. With 6 goals scored and 8 conceded in that five-match sample, Sant Andreu's defense has been leaky.

Head-to-Head Record

There have been just two previus meetings between these clubs, both in the Segunda Federacion. Each team won at home: Hercules CF defeated Sant Andreu 3-1 on February4, 2024, while Sant Andreu returned the favor with a 3-1 home victory on Septeber24, 2023. So the head-to-head record is excactly even at one win each, with no draws. Home advantage has been decisive in this smal sample, a factor that bodes well for Hercules CF on Saturday.

Win Proability: Hercules CF or Sant Andreu?

We calculat the outome probbilities as follows: Hercules CF win — 50%, draw — 30%, Sant Andreu win — 20%. This is based on the implied probbilities from the ods (home ~48%, draw ~35%, away ~17% after removing the margin), adjusted for superior home form and the historic pattern. While the bookmakers' odds favour the hosts, the relatively high draw chance of 30% reflects Sant Andreu's recent run of three draws in five games and the possibility of a low-scoring encounter. The away win probbility of 20% sugets Sant Andreu face an uphill battle.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Hercules CF as the clear favorite. Typic odds are around 1.70 for a home win, 2.15 for the draw, and 4.50 for a Sant Andreu away win — some outlets offer as high as 5.00 for the visitors. These figures reflect the market's view that Hercules should dominate possession and chances. Our match prediction aligns with the bookies: based on the stats, Hercules CF are the most likely winners. A low-scoring affair could be expected (under 2.5 goals), given that three of Hercules' last five matches featured two or fewer goals. Punters may find value in the draw, but the safest bet remains a home win.

", "faq_title": "Hercules CF vs Sant Andreu — FAQ", "faq": [ { "question": "Who will win Hercules CF vs Sant Andreu?", "answer": "According to our statistical model, Hercules CF have a 50% chance of winning, while the draw is at 30% and Sant Andreu hold a 20% chance. The home side is the favourite, backed by better recent form and the home win in their last meeting." }, { "question": "What is the win probability for Hercules CF?", "answer": "Hercules CF have a 50% win probability. This figure is derived from the odds (home win around 1.70, implying ~48% before adjustment) and boosted slightly by their stronger form — three wins in five games — and the fact that the home team won both previous head-to-head meetings." }, { "question": "When is the Hercules CF vs Sant Andreu match?", "answer": "The match will be played on October 12, 2026, at 17:15 local time. It is a Primera Federacion (Spanish third-tier) fixture." }, { "question": "What are the odds for the match?", "answer": "The average bookmaker odds are 1.70 for a Hercules CF victory, 2.15 for a draw, and 4.50 for a Sant Andreu win. Some bookies list the away win as high as 5.00, indicating a low perceived likelihood of an away upset." }, { "question": "What is the head-to-head record between Hercules CF and Sant Andreu?", "answer": "The two sides have met twice before, with each winning at home. Hercules won 3-1 on February4, 2024,, and Sant Andreu won 3-1 on Septeber24, 2023.. So the record is tied at 1-1." } ][] }