Herd - Spjelkavik prediction 9 October 2026
Herd
SpjelkavikHerd
StrindheimNardo FKHerdHerdSpjelkavikMolde 2HerdHerdKvik TrondheimByasenHerdHerdOrklaHerdMelhusNTNUIHerdNTNUIHerdHerdRanheim IIHerdVoldaMelhusHerdHerdNTNUIHerdNardo FKSpjelkavikKvik TrondheimHerdSpjelkavikSpjelkavikRanheim IIMelhusSpjelkavikSpjelkavikRosenborg 2Aalesund FK 2SpjelkavikNardo FKSpjelkavikSpjelkavikMolde 2SpjelkavikHoddOrklaSpjelkavikSpjelkavikStrindheimByasenSpjelkavikSpjelkavikNardo FKRosenborg 2SpjelkavikSpjelkavikOrklaHerdSpjelkavikSpjelkavikHerdSpjelkavikHerd| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Asker | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 89:36 | +53 | 67 |
| 2 |  Heming | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 66:40 | +26 | 50 |
| 3 |  Gamle Oslo FK | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 73:46 | +27 | 45 |
| 4 |  Ready | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 63:48 | +15 | 42 |
| 5 |  Valerenga 2 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 54:63 | -9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Baerum | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 68:48 | +20 | 39 |
| 7 |  Union Carl Berner | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 45:41 | +4 | 38 |
| 8 |  Frigg | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 53:62 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 |  Lokomotiv Oslo | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 48:72 | -24 | 29 |
| 10 |  Kfum 2 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 51:64 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 |  Grei | 25 | 9 | 1 | 15 | 48:73 | -25 | 28 |
| 12 |  Ullern | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 49:62 | -13 | 26 |
| 13 |  Nordstrand | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 36:60 | -24 | 20 |
| 14 |  Konnerud | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 40:68 | -28 | 17 |
Herd vs Spjelkavik Prediction (Oct 9)
The Herd vs Spjelkavik prediction for this 3rd Division Norway match on October 9, 2026, points to a tight contest. Our analysis gives Herd a 38% chance of winning, with Spjelkavik at 34% and the draw at 28%.
Team Form
Herd come into this match in poor shape, with no wins in their last five outings (L,D,L,D,L). They suffered heavy defeats to Molde 2 (6-2) and Byasen (6-1), but managed home draws against Kvik Trondheim (0-0) and Orkla (2-2). Their most recent home game was a 4-1 loss to Melhus. Overall, Herd have conceded 18 goals in these five matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Spjelkavik have also struggled, losing four of their last five (L,W,L,L,L). Their sole victory was a 1-0 away win at Melhus. Defeats included a 5-2 home loss to Ranheim II, a 4-0 home loss to Rosenborg 2, and away losses to Aalesund FK 2 (3-2) and Nardo FK (4-2). They have conceded 16 goals in the same period, so both teams have been leaking goals.
Head-to-Head Record
Herd have a perfect record against Spjelkavik, winning both previous encounters. The most recent meeting was on Apr 12, 2026, where Herd won 3-1 away. The only other clash was on Jul 1, 2017, a 2-0 away win for Herd. Spjelkavik have never beaten Herd in official matches.
Win Probability: Herd or Spjelkavik?
After analyzing the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, we assign the following win probabilities for this match:
- Herd win: 38%
- Draw: 28%
- Spjelkavik win: 34%
Despite bookmakers pricing Spjelkavik as the marginal favorite, Herd's historical dominance in this fixture and home advantage tilt the probabilities in their favor. However, both teams' current form is poor, making a draw a realistic outcome.
Herd vs Spjelkavik Prediction & Odds
The best available odds see Herd at 2.70, the draw at 2.70, and Spjelkavik at 2.60. Some bookmakers offer Herd as low as 2.05, indicating a split market. Based on the stats, Herd's unbeaten H2H record and home field give them a slight edge. Our prediction: Herd to win, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.
Betting tips: With both teams conceding heavily, over 2.5 goals is a possibility. Both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, so BTTS (both teams to score) could also be worth considering.
Herd vs Spjelkavik โ FAQ
- Who will win Herd vs Spjelkavik?
- Based on our analysis, Herd has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Spjelkavik has a 34% chance. Herd is the most likely winner, but the match is expected to be close.
- What is the win probability for Herd?
- Herd has a 38% chance of winning. This is driven by their perfect head-to-head record (2 wins in 2 meetings) and home advantage, despite their poor recent form.
- When is the Herd vs Spjelkavik match?
- The match is on October 9, 2026, at 17:15 local time. It is a 3rd Division fixture in Norway.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 2.70 for a Herd win, 2.70 for a draw, and 2.60 for a Spjelkavik win. Some bookies have Herd as low as 2.05, showing a divided market.
- What is the head-to-head record between Herd and Spjelkavik?
- Herd have won both previous meetings: 3-1 on Apr 12, 2026, and 2-0 on Jul 1, 2017. Both wins came away from home.