Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld prediction 24 October 2026

The Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld prediction for this Bundesliga 2 match on Oct 24 at 12:00 points towards a comfortable home victory. Based on the team form, league table positions, and head-to-head record, Hertha Berlin has a 68% chance of winning, the draw is at 21%, and Arminia Bielefeld has an 11% chance. The match takes place at the Olympiastadion in Berlin.

Team Form

Hertha Berlin comes into this fixture in outstanding form. Their last five matches across all competitions show three wins and two draws (D, W, D, W, W). In Bundesliga 2, they are undefeated this season with 7 wins and 1 draw from 8 matches, scoring 19 goals and conceding just 8. Their most recent league outing was a 0-0 draw away at Holstein Kiel on Oct 16, preceded by a 2-1 home win against Greuther Furth on Oct 11.

Arminia Bielefeld's recent form has been inconsistent. Their last five matches show one win, two draws, and two losses (W, D, L, D, L). In the league, they have won 2, drawn 2, and lost 3 of their 7 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Their last match was a 1-0 away win at VfL Bochum on Oct 11, breaking a four-game winless run.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent head-to-head record favors Arminia Bielefeld slightly, with 3 wins to Hertha Berlin's 1, alongside 5 draws. However, the last meeting between these sides at the Olympiastadion ended in a 1-1 draw on Dec 19, 2025. The most recent encounter saw Arminia Bielefeld win 6-1 at home on May 17, 2026. Hertha Berlin's sole victory in this set was a 2-0 home win back on Dec 11, 2021.

League Table Positions

Hertha Berlin sits top of the Bundesliga 2 table with 22 points from 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draw). They are undefeated and have the league's best defensive record. At home, they have a perfect record with 3 wins from 3 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Arminia Bielefeld is 10th with 8 points from 7 games. Their away form shows mixed results, though the data provided does not detail a full away standings table for them.

Win Probability: Hertha Berlin or Arminia Bielefeld?

After analyzing all available data, the win probability is: Hertha Berlin 68%, draw 21%, Arminia Bielefeld 11%. These percentages are derived from the implied probabilities of the best available odds (home win at 1.85, draw at 2.50, away win at 3.75), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted significantly upward for Hertha Berlin due to their perfect home record, top position in the league, superior recent form, and the strong motivational factor to avenge their 6-1 defeat in May. Arminia Bielefeld's inconsistent away form and mid-table position heavily reduce their chances. The clear conclusion is that Hertha Berlin is overwhelmingly more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Hertha Berlin as the strong favorite. The best odds available across the selected bookmakers show a home win priced between 1.65 and 1.85, a draw between 2.48 and 4.40, and an away win between 3.70 and 4.30. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome. The significant gap in league positions and form suggests Hertha Berlin should secure all three points.