Mosta FC - Hibernians Paola prediction 26 October 2026
Mosta FC
Hibernians PaolaMosta FC
Valletta FCFlorianaMosta FCMosta FCGzira UnitedMosta FCBirzebbuga St. PetersMosta FCGzira UnitedMosta FCSliema WanderersMarsaxlokkMosta FCMosta FCBirkirkara FCBalzan YouthsMosta FCHamrun Spartans FCMosta FCMosta FCBalzan YouthsMosta FCGzira UnitedMosta FCBirzebbuga St. PetersMosta FCNaxxar LionsBirkirkara FCMosta FCHibernians PaolaGzira UnitedHibernians PaolaBirzebbuga St. PetersHibernians PaolaHamrun Spartans FCFlorianaHibernians PaolaBirkirkara FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaValletta FCHibernians PaolaZabbar St. PatrickMarsaxlokkHibernians PaolaSliema WanderersHibernians PaolaZabbar St. PatrickHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaBirkirkara FCTarxien RainbowsHibernians PaolaSliema WanderersHibernians PaolaNaxxar LionsHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCMosta FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCMosta FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaMosta FCMosta FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaMosta FCMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaMosta FCMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FCHibernians PaolaMosta FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Valletta FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 |  Marsaxlokk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 |
| 3 |  Sliema Wanderers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 17 |
| 4 |  Floriana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Hamrun Spartans FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Birkirkara FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Mosta FC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Hibernians Paola | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Balzan Youths | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Zabbar St. Patrick | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 |  Gzira United | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 9:21 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 |  Birzebbuga St. Peters | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 |
Mosta FC vs Hibernians Paola Prediction (Oct 26)
The Mosta FC vs Hibernians Paola prediction for October 26, 2026, points to a tight Premier League contest at Tony Bezzina Stadium. Based on the stats, Hibernians Paola enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Mosta FC has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%.
Team Form
Mosta FC's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they have recorded four draws and one loss (D, D, D, D, L). Their most recent outing was a 0-2 home defeat against Valletta FC on Oct 21. Prior to that, they drew 3-3 away at Floriana and 1-1 at home to Gzira United.
Hibernians Paola shows slightly better momentum with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five (W, W, D, L, D). They secured a 2-1 home victory against Gzira United on Oct 22 and a 1-0 win over Birzebbuga St. Peters on Oct 18. Their only recent defeat was a heavy 4-0 loss away to Floriana on Sep 20.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Hibernians Paola. In 26 previous meetings, Hibernians have won 16 times, Mosta FC have won 4, and there have been 6 draws. The last five encounters show Hibernians' dominance with three wins, one draw, and one loss. Most recently, Hibernians beat Mosta 2-0 on Apr 24, 2026, and 1-0 on Jan 31, 2026. Mosta's sole recent victory was a 2-0 away win on Jan 11, 2026.
League Table Positions
In the Premier League standings, Mosta FC sits 7th with 13 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). Hibernians Paola is just behind in 8th place with 12 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). At home, Mosta has 7 points from 5 games, while Hibernians have collected 5 points from 4 away matches.
Win Probability: Mosta FC or Hibernians Paola?
Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, Hibernians Paola has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Mosta FC has a 30% chance. The probability calculation uses the inverse of the average odds (home 3.05, draw 2.30, away 2.44), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Hibernians' superior H2H record (16 wins in 26 matches) and better recent form (two wins in their last three) adjust their chances upward, while Mosta's home advantage and four draws in five games keep the draw probability significant.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a closely matched contest. The best available odds show Mosta FC (home) at 3.17, the draw at 3.56, and Hibernians Paola (away) at 2.10. The implied probability from the market favors an away win. Based on the stats, Hibernians Paola is the more likely winner, but Mosta's resilience at homeโlosing only once in their last fiveโsuggests a draw is a real possibility. Our prediction: Hibernians Paola to win, but with caution given Mosta's string of draws.
Mosta FC vs Hibernians Paola โ FAQ
- Who will win Mosta FC vs Hibernians Paola?
- Hibernians Paola is the favorite to win. They have a 45% chance of victory, compared to 30% for Mosta FC and a 25% probability of a draw. This is based on Hibernians' dominant head-to-head record and better recent form.
- What is the win probability for Hibernians Paola?
- Hibernians Paola has a 45% chance of winning the match. This probability is calculated from the betting odds and adjusted for their strong H2H record, where they have won 16 of 26 meetings against Mosta FC.
- When is the Mosta FC vs Hibernians Paola match?
- The match is scheduled for October 26, 2026, at 19:30 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in Malta, played at the Tony Bezzina Stadium in Paola.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 betting odds vary slightly across bookmakers. The highest available odds are 3.17 for a Mosta FC win, 3.56 for a draw, and 2.10 for a Hibernians Paola win. The market sees Hibernians as the favorite.