Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan - Welwalo Adigrat prediction 4 September 2026

Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan vs Welwalo Adigrat prediction: The CAF Confederation Cup match on Sep 04, 2026, at 17:00 UTC presents a tight contest. Bookmakers slightly favor the home side, but our win probability analysis indicates a draw is the most likely outcome at 40%, with Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan's win chances at 35% and Welwalo Adigrat at 25%.

Team Form

Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan

Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan are in terrible form, having lost their last four matches. They suffered a 7-0 away defeat to Pyramids FC (Oct 15, 2022), a 0-2 home loss to Pyramids FC (Oct 8, 2022), a 2-0 away loss to Pyramids FC (again), and a 2-1 away loss to Geita Gold (Sep 17, 2022). These matches all took place in late 2022; the team has not played a competitive fixture since then, which may affect their sharpness.

Welwalo Adigrat

Welwalo Adigrat's recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings (from June to July 2026). They beat Cafe Sidama Bunna 2-0 away on Jul 9, drew 1-1 at home with Saint George SC on Jul 2, won 1-0 at Arba Minch Kenema on Jun 26, lost 0-1 at home to Hadiya Hossana on Jun 22, and drew 0-0 away at Sheger Ketema on Jun 16. This run includes two clean sheets and a solid defensive record. Welwalo Adigrat have been active in 2026, giving them a match fitness advantage over their opponents.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head data available for Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan vs Welwalo Adigrat. These teams have never met in a competitive fixture before.

Win Probability: Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan or Welwalo Adigrat?

We calculated the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and the long inactivity of the home side. First, we took the average odds from the three bookmakers: home win 1.98, draw 2.00, away win 4.58. The implied probabilities summed to 122.3%, so we normalized to 100%: home 41.3%, draw 40.8%, away 17.9%. Then we adjusted for the significant form gap: Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan’s four consecutive defeats and over three years without a competitive match, versus Welwalo Adigrat’s active 2026 season with two wins, two draws, and one loss. The final adjusted probabilities are:

• Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan win: 35%
• Draw: 40%
• Welwalo Adigrat win: 25%

These numbers show the draw as the most likely outcome. The home side still holds a slight edge over the away team due to home advantage, but their poor recent results and lack of competitive action make an away win a real possibility.

Hilal Alsahil SC Port Sudan vs Welwalo Adigrat Prediction & Odds

The best available odds from bookmakers are: home win at 1.91, draw at 2.00, and away win at 4.33. The short odds on the draw underline the expectation of a tight match. Based on the stats, we predict a draw is the most probable result. A cautious betting tip would be to back the draw or consider a double chance on Welwalo Adigrat or draw. The match is likely to be low-scoring given both teams' recent defensive records in their respective leagues.