Hitchin Town - Bury Town prediction 24 October 2026

Our Hitchin Town vs Bury Town prediction for this Southern League Premier Division fixture on Oct 24 focuses on Bury Town as the favorites. Based on the odds and recent form, Bury Town has a 50% win probability, while Hitchin Town sits at 28%, with a 22% chance for a draw.

Team Form

Hitchin Town come into this game with a mixed recent home record, ranking 12th in the overall standings. Their last five matches in the Southern League Premier Division have produced two wins and three losses (W, L, L, L, W). They secured a 3-0 home victory against Stamford on Oct 20 but suffered a 4-0 defeat at Leamington earlier in the month.

Bury Town have shown better consistency, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings (D, W, L, W, L). Notably, they drew 2-2 away to Real Bedford on Oct 20 and beat Stourbridge 2-0 at home on Oct 17. Their 5-0 loss against Needham Market on Oct 13 was a clear setback, but they have generally outperformed their upcoming hosts in recent weeks.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Hitchin Town and Bury Town is limited to just one previous encounter, which favored the visitors for this match. On Sep 22, Bury Town hosted Hitchin Town and won 1-0. Over the single match, Bury Town have one victory, while Hitchin Town are yet to win or draw.

League Table Positions

Hitchin Town currently sit 12th in the Southern League Premier Division with 16 points from 12 games. The available table data shows a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, scoring 15 goals and conceding 17. Their home form is not specifically listed in the home table, indicating a weakness compared to the top sides.

Bury Town are not placed in the provided top 12 overall, home, or away standings, but their winning head-to-head and superior recent form suggests they are performing better than their 12th-placed hosts. The data points to a mid-table gap, with Hitchin Town struggling for consistency.

Win Probability: Hitchin Town or Bury Town?

Based on the available data, the probability of a Bury Town win is 50%. The draw has a 22% chance, and a Hitchin Town victory is at 28%. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the margin), adjusted for form and the head-to-head record. Bury Town’s recent away draw and previous 1-0 win over Hitchin Town give them a clear edge. The home advantage slightly boosts Hitchin Town, but their inconsistent form and lower table position reduce their chances. Bury Town is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the odds for this match with Bury Town as the away favorite. The best available odds show a home win at 3.40, a draw at 3.50, and an away win at 1.82. These odds reflect Bury Town’s stronger form and the previous head-to-head result. Based on the stats and the calculated win probabilities, the predicted outcome leans towards an away win. Bury Town’s ability to get results on the road, combined with Hitchin Town’s defensive vulnerabilities, makes them the likely winners. A low-scoring match is possible given the 1-0 result in their only prior meeting.