Hluboka nad Vltavou - FK Krimice prediction 2 October 2026

The Hluboka nad Vltavou vs FK Krimice prediction for October 2, 2026, is here. In the Czech 4 Liga, Hluboka nad Vltavou hosts FK Krimice at 17:00. According to bookmaker odds and our statistical model, FK Krimice has a 40% win probability, the draw is at 25%, and Hluboka nad Vltavou holds a 35% chance. Both teams are coming off mixed results, and this match could have a significant impact on the top of the table.

Team Form

Hluboka nad Vltavou's recent form in all competitions: W, D, W, D, L. Their only loss was a 0-2 home cup defeat to Viktoria Zizkov on August 25. In the 4 Liga, they remain unbeaten after seven matchdays (4 wins, 3 draws). Their last five league outings were a 3-2 away win at Senco Doubravka, a 2-2 home draw with Milevsko, a 3-1 away win at FK Mas Taborsko II, a 2-2 home draw with Sobeslav, and that cup loss. At home, they have played three league games — one win and two draws — scoring 5 and conceding 4. The tendency to draw at home (66% of matches) is notable.

FK Krimice's last five results: W, W, W, W, L. After four straight wins (1-0 vs Jiskra Domazlice B, 4-1 at Petrin Plzen, 1-0 vs Horovicko, 4-2 at Slavoj Cesky Krumlov), they fell 1-2 at home to FK Komarov on August 29. That loss is their only setback in the last five competitive games. On the road, Krimice have been outstanding: 9 points from 4 away matches (3 wins, 1 loss), scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their away rank is 2nd, and they netted four goals in each of their last two away trips.

Head-to-Head Record

There have been only two recent H2H meetings, both ending in away wins. On October 5, 2025, FK Krimice won 3-1 at Hluboka nad Vltavou's ground. Then, on May 1, 2026, Hluboka returned the favour with a 2-1 away success. So each side has one victory, with FK Krimice scoring 4 and Hluboka scoring 3 across the two matches. No draw has been recorded, and home advantage has been neutralised so far.

League Table Positions

FK Krimice sits 1st in the 4 Liga with 18 points from 8 games (6 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). They have a +7 goal difference (16 scored, 9 conceded). Hluboka nad Vltavou is 5th with 15 points from 7 games (4 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), giving them a game in hand and a +5 goal difference. Hluboka is the only unbeaten team in the division. However, their home results have dragged them down the home standings to 8th place (1 win, 2 draws), while Krimice's away form ranks them 2nd in the away table.

Win Probability: Hluboka nad Vltavou or FK Krimice?

We calculate the probabilities using the inverse of the odds (normalised to remove the margin): Hluboka 35.8%, Draw 23.5%, FK Krimice 40.7%. After adjusting for form and h2h factors, we set the final chances at: Hluboka nad Vltavou win 35%, Draw 25%, FK Krimice win 40%. The away side's probability edge comes from their superior league position, prolific away scoring, and the fact that both past meetings were won by the travelling team. Hluboka's unbeaten league run and two recent home draws boost the draw probability slightly.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds are: home win 2.50, draw 3.80, away win 2.20. Bookmakers clearly view FK Krimice as the favourite. With a 40% chance of victory, the visitors are the most likely outright winners. Still, the high draw odds (3.80) might attract bettors given Hluboka's propensity for home stalemates. Our prediction leans FK Krimice to win, but if you seek a hedging option, the draw offers value. Based on the numbers, FK Krimice to win is the safest betting tip.