Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women - Trelleborgs Women prediction 26 September 2026

The Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women vs Trelleborgs Women prediction for Sep 26, 2026 points to an away win in the Elitettan Women. Based on head-to-head dominance, league table position, and recent form, Trelleborgs Women have a 40% chance of winning, while Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women and the draw each sit at 30%.

Team Form

Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women's last five matches show a mixed bag of results: a 1-1 away draw against Gamla Upsala Women, a 1-0 away win at Enskede Women, a 1-2 home loss to Linkopings Women, a 1-1 home draw with Örebro SK W, and a 2-1 away victory at Jitex BK Women. That gives them two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring six and conceding five. The hosts have shown resilience on the road but remain inconsistent at home.

Trelleborgs Women come into this match with a slightly weaker recent record. Their last five outings include a 2-0 home win over BK Hacken B Women, a 0-0 away draw at Sandvikens IF Women, a 2-2 home draw with KIF Orebro DFF Women, a 0-4 home cup loss to Malmo FF Women, and a 0-1 away defeat at Husqvarna Women. Focusing on the league alone (W-D-D-L), the visitors have struggled to score away from home, netting just once in their last three road fixtures.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Trelleborgs Women. In three previous meetings, the away side have won every encounter, outscoring Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women 7-2 aggregate. The results:

• May 9, 2026: Trelleborgs Women 1-0 Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women
• Aug 13, 2023: Trelleborgs Women 3-1 Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women
• Jun 18, 2023: Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women 1-3 Trelleborgs Women

Not once have the hosts managed to take a point from this fixture, and they have conceded in all three clashes.

League Table Positions

In the Elitettan Women table, Trelleborgs Women sit 6th with 29 points from 19 matches (8 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses, goals 27:27). Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women are 10th with 19 points (4 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses, goals 17:26). The 10-point gap reflects a clear difference in overall performance. Holmalunds have the second-weakest attack in the league and only four wins all season. Home-standings data for Holmalunds is not listed among the top eight, suggesting a poor home record. Trelleborgs’ home form is solid (6th in home table with 18 points from 10 games), but their away form remains patchy.

Win Probability: Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women or Trelleborgs Women?

Without current bookmaker odds, the win probabilities are calculated using head-to-head, team form, standings, and home/away factors. Holmalunds IF Alingsas Women have a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Trelleborgs Women have a 40% chance. The visitors’ perfect H2H record (3 wins) and superior league position make them favourites, but Holmalunds’ recent improved results (two wins in five) and the visitors’ away scoring problems keep a draw very much in play. Trelleborgs are the more likely winner, yet the margin is slim.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific 1X2 odds are not provided in the data. Bookmakers would likely price Trelleborgs Women as favourites, reflecting the head-to-head sweep and the 10-point gap in the table. Based on the stats, the match prediction favours an away win, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, Trelleborgs double chance or under 2.5 goals could be considered, given Holmalunds’ limited attack and Trelleborgs’ recent dry spell in front of goal on the road.