Skeid - Honefoss BK prediction 3 October 2026

The Skeid vs Honefoss BK prediction for October 3, 2026, points to an away win. Honefoss BK enters this 2nd Division clash as the clear favorite with a 48% win probability, while Skeid struggles at home with just a 24% chance. The match kicks off at 13:00 local time in Norway’s third tier.

Team Form

Skeid are in dreadful shape. Their last five home matches have yielded four defeats and only one win: a 4-1 victory over Kjelsas on September 5. Since then, they lost 0-1 to Junkeren, 1-4 to Valerenga in the Cup, 0-6 to Tromsdalen, and 1-4 to Lorenskog. That’s 15 goals conceded in four games. Defensive fragility is a major concern.

Honefoss BK travel with confidence. Their last five away results show three wins, one draw, and one loss. They beat Trygg/Lade 3-2, Rana FK 1-0, and Tromsdalen 2-1, drew 1-1 with Grorud, and lost 0-2 to KFUM Oslo in the Cup. The 2-1 win at Tromsdalen on September 27 underlines their ability to grind out results on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice in 2026. Honefoss BK won the most recent encounter 3-1 at home on July 25 in the league. Earlier, on March 7, they drew 2-2 in a friendly. Skeid are yet to beat Honefoss BK, with the head-to-head record standing at 0 wins for Skeid, 1 draw, and 1 win for Honefoss BK.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall 2nd Division standings, suggesting both are in the lower half of the table. Skeid’s home form is particularly poor, while Honefoss BK’s away record (three wins in five) indicates they are far more competitive on their travels. The lack of a direct table comparison makes form and H2H the key indicators.

Win Probability: Skeid or Honefoss BK?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home/away factor, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Skeid win: 24%
• Draw: 28%
• Honefoss BK win: 48%

Bookmakers’ average odds (home 3.80, draw 2.60, away 2.10) imply a 42.4% chance for Honefoss BK after removing the margin. However, Skeid’s four consecutive home defeats and Honefoss BK’s strong away form push the visitors’ probability higher. The head-to-head also favours Honefoss BK, who won the last league meeting 3-1. Consequently, Honefoss BK is the more likely winner, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Skeid’s desperation to halt their slide.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Honefoss BK as the favourite. The best available odds at the time of writing are: Skeid win at 3.95, draw at 2.60, and Honefoss BK win at 1.95. Some books offer as high as 4.23 for a home win, reflecting Skeid’s poor form. Our Skeid vs Honefoss BK prediction is an away victory. The stats point to Honefoss BK’s superior momentum and Skeid’s defensive woes. A 2-1 or 2-0 away win is the most likely outcome, but a low-scoring draw is also a plausible result.