Shatin - Hong Kong FC prediction 18 October 2026
Shatin
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Kowloon CityShatinGolik North DistrictLee Man WarriorsShatinEastern SCShatinShatinHoi KingShatinYuen LongCitizen AAShatin3 SingShatinShatinSupremeShatinLucky MileShatinTung SingResources Capital FCShatinSham Shui PoShatinShatinHong Kong FCKitcheeHong Kong FCShatinHong Kong FCWofoo Tai PoHong Kong FCHong Kong FCLee Man WarriorsSouthern District RSAHong Kong FCKowloon CityHong Kong FCHong Kong FCHong Kong RangersHong Kong FCSouthern District RSAEastern DistrictHong Kong FCEastern SCHong Kong FCHong Kong FCLee Man WarriorsKitcheeHong Kong FCSouthern District RSAHong Kong FCWofoo Tai PoHong Kong FCShatinHong Kong FCShatinHong Kong FCHong Kong FCShatinShatinHong Kong FCShatinHong Kong FCHong Kong FCShatinShatinHong Kong FCShatinHong Kong FCHong Kong FCShatinHong Kong FCShatinHong Kong FCShatinHong Kong FCShatinHong Kong FCShatinShatinHong Kong FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kitchee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |  Gambia Armed Forces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |  Golik North District | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Wofoo Tai Po | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Eastern SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Kowloon City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Eastern District | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Southern District RSA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Hong Kong Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Shatin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC Prediction (Oct 1)
The Shatin vs Hong Kong FC prediction for the League Cup match on October 1, 2026, at 12:00 UK time points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Hong Kong FC enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Shatin has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 30%.
Team Form
Shatin's recent form is poor, with just one win in their last five matches (W1, L4). Their last five results:
- Sep 13: Shatin 2-3 Kowloon City (L)
- Sep 6: Shatin 0-5 Golik North District (L)
- Aug 28: Lee Man Warriors 3-0 Shatin (L)
- Aug 21: Eastern SC 1-3 Shatin (W)
- May 17: Shatin 2-3 Hoi King (L)
Hong Kong FC's form is more balanced, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings:
- Sep 12: Wofoo Tai Po 1-2 Hong Kong FC (W)
- Sep 6: Hong Kong FC 0-3 Lee Man Warriors (L)
- Aug 22: Southern District RSA 3-2 Hong Kong FC (L)
- May 16: Kowloon City 1-1 Hong Kong FC (D)
- May 10: Hong Kong FC 2-1 Hong Kong Rangers (W)
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Hong Kong FC. In 12 previous meetings, Shatin has failed to win any (0 wins), with 5 draws and 7 victories for Hong Kong FC. The most recent five encounters all ended in Hong Kong FC wins:
- Jun 13, 2021: Hong Kong FC 3-0 Shatin
- Sep 29, 2019: Shatin 3-4 Hong Kong FC
- Sep 29, 2019: Shatin 3-4 Hong Kong FC
- Feb 16, 2019: Hong Kong FC 3-0 Shatin
- Dec 16, 2018: Shatin 1-2 Hong Kong FC
Win Probability: Shatin or Hong Kong FC?
We calculate the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds and on-field data. The average odds imply a 34% chance for a Shatin win, 36% for a draw, and 30% for Hong Kong FC. However, adjusting for Shatin's poor form (1 win in 5) and the one-sided H2H (0 wins in 12), we shift the probabilities. Our final assessment: Shatin has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Hong Kong FC has a 40% chance. Thus, Hong Kong FC is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer odds around 2.60 for a Shatin home win, 2.40 for the draw, and 3.00 for an away victory for Hong Kong FC. These odds reflect a very even matchup on paper, but the historical data and current form suggest value on the away side. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a Hong Kong FC win, possibly with a 1-2 or 0-2 scoreline. However, a draw cannot be ruled out given the high draw probability.
Shatin vs Hong Kong FC โ FAQ
- Who will win Shatin vs Hong Kong FC?
- Based on our analysis, Hong Kong FC has a 40% chance of winning, while Shatin has a 30% chance and the draw is at 30%. Hong Kong FC is the favorite due to a dominant head-to-head record (7 wins in 12 meetings) and better recent form.
- What is the win probability for Hong Kong FC?
- Hong Kong FC has a 40% win probability. This is adjusted from the bookmaker-implied 30% after factoring in Shatin's poor form (1 win in 5) and Hong Kong FC's 7 wins in 12 head-to-head meetings.
- When is the Shatin vs Hong Kong FC match?
- The match takes place on October 1, 2026, at 12:00 UK time. It is a League Cup fixture in Hong Kong.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current odds are around 2.60 for a Shatin win, 2.40 for a draw, and 3.00 for a Hong Kong FC victory. These odds come from leading bookmakers and imply a very close contest.