HooGee - Gilla FC prediction 3 October 2026

HooGee vs Gilla FC prediction for the Kolmonen match on Oct 3, 2026, at 10:00. Our analysis gives Gilla FC a 40% win probability, making them the favorite over HooGee (30%) and the draw (30%).

Team Form

HooGee have been inconsistent, with a form line of L-W-D-W-L in their last five outings. They suffered a 3-1 away loss to EIF Akademi, bounced back with a 2-0 home win over EsPa, played out a 3-3 home draw with MPS Malmin Palloseura, beat LoPa Lohja 3-1 at home, and lost 2-0 at Grifk Akatemia. At home, HooGee are unbeaten in three matches (W2 D1), scoring 8 goals in that span. Overall, they have netted 9 goals in their last five games.

Gilla FC, by contrast, are in excellent form with three wins, one draw, and one loss (W-L-W-W-D). They demolished LoPa Lohja 4-0 at home, lost 4-2 away to EIF Akademi, thrashed NuPS 5-0 at home, crushed Grifk Akatemia 7-1 at home, and drew 2-2 away at EPS II. Gilla FC have been a scoring machine, finding the net 20 times in these five matches. However, their away form is less dominant: they lost 4-2 and drew 2-2 in their last two road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides took place on Jul 1, 2026, in the Kolmonen. Gilla FC ran out 6-3 winners at home. That result gives Gilla FC a 1-0 lead in the head-to-head record, with no draws. HooGee will be looking for their first win against this opponent.

Win Probability: HooGee or Gilla FC?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: HooGee 30%, draw 30%, Gilla FC 40%. The bookmakers' opening odds (home 2.70, draw 2.88, away 2.50) implied chances of 33.1%, 31.1%, and 35.8% respectively after removing the margin. We adjusted these figures to reflect Gilla FC's stronger recent form (three wins vs two) and their dominant 6-3 head-to-head victory. While HooGee enjoy home advantage and are unbeaten in their last three at home, Gilla FC's attacking output—20 goals in five games—tips the balance. Therefore, Gilla FC are more likely to win, though a draw cannot be ruled out. This HooGee vs Gilla FC prediction factors in all key stats and the latest odds.

Odds & HooGee vs Gilla FC Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this fixture with HooGee at 2.70, the draw at 2.88, and Gilla FC at 2.50. These odds indicate Gilla FC as the marginal favorite. Considering all available data—form, head-to-head, and implied probabilities—our HooGee vs Gilla FC prediction is an away win. For betting tips, backing Gilla FC to win at 2.50 offers value, and given the goal trends, over 2.5 goals could also be an attractive market.