HooGee - MPS Malmin Palloseura prediction 10 September 2026

The HooGee vs MPS Malmin Palloseura prediction for September 10, 2026, points to a tight Kolmonen contest. The match kicks off at 17:15, with HooGee holding a slight edge based on recent home form. Our calculated win probability gives HooGee a 40% chance, the draw 30%, and MPS Malmin Palloseura 30%.

Team Form

HooGee's last five results show inconsistency: W, L, W, L, L. At home, they beat LoPa Lohja 3-1 and EPS II 2-0, but suffered a wild 4-5 loss to LehPa. MPS Malmin Palloseura's recent form is W, L, D, L, L. They won 3-1 at home against Pallo-Pojat Akatemia on Sep 04, but lost 0-2 at LehPa and 1-2 at LoPa Lohja. Both teams have struggled for consistency, winning just two of their last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met once before, on June 5, 2026. MPS Malmin Palloseura won that Kolmonen clash 2-0 at home. HooGee will be looking for their first goal and first point in this fixture.

League Table Positions

No league table data is available for this Kolmonen match. Based on recent results, both teams appear closely matched in the Finnish lower tiers, with neither side showing dominant form to suggest a significant gap in the standings.

Win Probability: HooGee or MPS Malmin Palloseura?

HooGee has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and MPS Malmin Palloseura has a 30% chance. No odds are available to use as a base, so the estimate is built from form and head-to-head. HooGee's home advantage and two recent home wins boost their probability, but three losses in five and a 0-2 H2H defeat cap their edge. MPS Malmin Palloseura's away form is poor, with two straight road losses, yet their prior win over HooGee keeps them level with the draw. The most likely outcome is a narrow HooGee win or a stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. Based on the stats, HooGee enters as the marginal favorite due to home soil and a slightly better recent goal tally. However, MPS Malmin Palloseura's head-to-head win and HooGee's defensive frailties make a draw a very realistic outcome. The match prediction is a low-scoring affair, with HooGee having the best chance to edge it if they can tighten up at the back.