Horley Town - Erith Town prediction 20 October 2026
Horley Town
Erith TownHorley TownErith Town
Broadbridge HeathHorley TownHorley TownCroydon AthleticDorking WanderersHorley TownHorley TownErith TownCroydon AthleticErith TownEast Grinstead TownErith TownErith TownVCD AthleticFaversham TownErith TownBeckenham TownErith TownPhoenix SportsErith TownErith TownSheppey UnitedErith TownLewesThree BridgesErith TownErith TownSevenoaks TownHorley TownErith Town| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Three Bridges | 41 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 122:42 | +80 | 95 |
| 2 |  Croydon Athletic | 41 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 94:56 | +38 | 84 |
| 3 |  Whyteleafe | 41 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 107:44 | +63 | 82 |
| 4 |  Jersey Bulls | 41 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 78:35 | +43 | 81 |
| 5 |  Sittingbourne | 41 | 22 | 10 | 9 | 81:50 | +31 | 76 |
| 6 |  Faversham Town | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 84:56 | +28 | 73 |
| 7 |  Margate | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 84:62 | +22 | 72 |
| 8 |  Deal Town | 41 | 20 | 6 | 15 | 89:65 | +24 | 66 |
| 9 |  Ashford United | 41 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 89:65 | +24 | 64 |
| 10 |  Merstham | 41 | 17 | 9 | 15 | 71:60 | +11 | 60 |
| 11 |  Eastbourne Town | 41 | 16 | 7 | 18 | 61:75 | -14 | 55 |
| 12 |  Sevenoaks Town | 41 | 16 | 6 | 19 | 70:78 | -8 | 54 |
| 13 |  Herne Bay | 41 | 15 | 9 | 17 | 61:73 | -12 | 54 |
| 14 |  Crowborough Athletic | 41 | 15 | 7 | 19 | 58:82 | -24 | 52 |
| 15 |  Broadbridge Heath | 41 | 15 | 5 | 21 | 80:89 | -9 | 50 |
| 16 |  Hastings United | 41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 55:67 | -12 | 46 |
| 17 | Erith Town | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 64:81 | -17 | 45 |
| 18 |  Sheppey United | 41 | 12 | 7 | 22 | 61:93 | -32 | 43 |
| 19 |  Hassocks FC | 41 | 11 | 8 | 22 | 51:76 | -25 | 41 |
| 20 |  Beckenham Town | 41 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 52:92 | -40 | 35 |
| 21 |  VCD Athletic | 41 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 54:96 | -42 | 32 |
| 22 |  East Grinstead Town | 41 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 29:158 | -129 | 6 |
Horley Town vs Erith Town Prediction (Oct 20)
The Horley Town vs Erith Town prediction for October 20, 2026, in the Isthmian League South East Division points to an away win. Based on our analysis, Erith Town has a 57% chance of winning, while Horley Town sits at a 20% probability. The match kicks off at 19:30.
Team Form
Horley Town enters this match in poor shape. Their last three results have all been losses: a 4-1 defeat at Broadbridge Heath on Aug 22, a 1-0 home loss to Croydon Athletic in the FA Cup, and a 3-0 friendly loss at Dorking Wanderers. They have conceded 8 goals in these three games.
Erith Town's recent form is much stronger. In their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss. Key results include a 7-1 demolition of East Grinstead Town on Feb 17, a 3-2 win at Faversham Town, and a 1-0 home victory over VCD Athletic. Their only recent setback was a 3-2 loss at Croydon Athletic on Sep 22.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no recorded head-to-head history between Horley Town and Erith Town. The data shows zero wins for both sides and zero draws, indicating this is a first-time competitive meeting.
League Table Positions
Neither team currently appears in the top 12 of the Isthmian League South East Division overall standings. The table is led by Three Bridges with 95 points from 41 games. Looking at home and away splits, Horley Town is also unranked in the top 8 home sides, while Erith Town is absent from the top 8 away teams. The available league data suggests both clubs are in the lower half of the table, though Erith Town's recent form is significantly better.
Win Probability: Horley Town or Erith Town?
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Horley Town 20%, Draw 23%, Erith Town 57%. This assessment bases the core calculation on the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (with the margin removed), then adjusts for the contrasting form. Horley Town's three straight losses reduce their chances, while Erith Town's three wins in five matches increase theirs. The lack of H2H data and unranked league positions slightly increase the draw probability, but Erith Town remains the clear favorite to win.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Erith Town as the favorite. The available odds show an away win priced at 1.95 and 1.90, while a home victory is at 3.75 and 3.80, and the draw is offered at 2.88 and 3.00. Based on the stats, Erith Town is more likely to win this Isthmian League South East Division clash. Horley Town will need a dramatic turnaround in form to get a result.
Horley Town vs Erith Town โ FAQ
- Who will win Horley Town vs Erith Town?
- Erith Town is the most likely winner. Our analysis gives Horley Town a 20% chance of winning, the draw a 23% chance, and Erith Town a 57% chance. This is based on bookmaker odds and the contrasting recent form of both teams.
- What is the win probability for Erith Town?
- Erith Town has a 57% probability of winning this match. This high percentage reflects their strong form (three wins in five games) and favorable odds of 1.90 to 1.95, while Horley Town has lost their last three matches.
- When is the Horley Town vs Erith Town match?
- The match is scheduled for October 20, 2026. Kick-off is at 19:30 local time, and it is an Isthmian League South East Division fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Available bookmaker odds show Erith Town as the favorite at 1.90 and 1.95 for an away win. A Horley Town home win is priced at 3.75 and 3.80, while the draw is offered at 2.88 and 3.00.