Plymouth Parkway - Horsham FC prediction 3 October 2026

This Horsham FC vs Plymouth Parkway prediction covers the FA Cup match on Oct 3 at 15:00. Plymouth Parkway, the home side, enters the tie as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Horsham FC has a 28% chance and the draw is at 32%.

Team Form

Plymouth Parkway are in strong form with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. On Sep 29, they drew 1-1 at Gloucester City; on Sep 22, they beat Frome Town 2-0; on Sep 12, they won 3-1 at Sholing; on Aug 31, they beat Poole Town 2-0; and on Aug 29, they won 3-1 at Evesham United. Over that run they scored 11 goals and conceded only 3.

Horsham FC's recent form is more mixed: one win, three draws and one loss in their last five. They won 3-0 at Walton & Hersham in the FA Cup, drew 0-0 with Chelmsford City, 1-1 with Folkestone Invicta and 1-1 with Dagenham & Redbridge, and lost 4-1 at home to Chesham United.

Head-to-Head Record

The recorded head-to-head data shows no previous meetings between these sides. With home wins, away wins and draws all at zero, this FA Cup tie has no direct history to lean on.

Win Probability: Horsham FC or Plymouth Parkway?

Based on the odds, recent form and home advantage, Plymouth Parkway has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Horsham FC has a 28% chance. The raw implied probabilities from the three listed bookmakers average roughly 30.3% for a home win, 36.8% for the draw and 32.9% for an away win. However, the home side’s four wins in five matches and Horsham FC’s one win in five justify an adjustment toward Plymouth Parkway.

Horsham FC's away form is not poor, but three draws in five games and a heavy home defeat to Chesham United reduce their win probability. With no head-to-head data to shift the numbers, the strongest single factor is Plymouth Parkway's current run.

Horsham FC vs Plymouth Parkway Prediction: Odds & Verdict

Bookmakers have priced the match closely. The 1X2 odds range from 2.62 to 3.05 for a Plymouth Parkway win, 2.22 to 2.38 for the draw, and 2.42 to 2.70 for a Horsham FC win. The draw is the shortest price, but the form gap points to the host.

Final prediction: Plymouth Parkway to win. The recommended betting angle is a home victory, but the draw is a live result given the odds.