Prostejov - Hradec Kralove prediction 28 October 2026

The Prostejov vs Hradec Kralove prediction for their Czech Cup clash on Oct 28, 2026, at 11:30, points towards an away victory. Based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head records, Hradec Kralove enters the match as the clear favorite with a 62% chance of winning.

Team Form

Prostejov's recent results show a struggle for consistency. In their last five matches across all competitions, they recorded one win, three draws, and one loss (L, D, D, W, D). Their most recent outing was a heavy 5-1 defeat away to Slavia Praha B in the FNL on Oct 25. Before that, they played out consecutive 2-2 draws against Usti nad Labem and Vysocina Jihlava. A friendly win against Fastav Zlin and a home draw with Dukla Praha complete their mixed recent form.

Hradec Kralove's recent form is also patchy, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (L, D, L, L, W). However, context is key: they compete in the top-tier 1. Liga, facing stronger opposition. Their last match was a 2-1 home loss to Jablonec on Oct 25. A notable result was a 0-0 draw away to a strong Slavia Praha side. Their sole recent win came in the Cup against FK Pribram on Sep 16, which they won 2-1, proving they can get results in this competition.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head record between these sides is tight. In 9 previous meetings, Prostejov has won 4 times, Hradec Kralove has won 3, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent encounters, dating back to the 2019-2021 FNL seasons, have been closely contested. Prostejov won the last meeting as the home side 2-1 in June 2020, but Hradec Kralove edged a 2-1 away win in May 2021. Notably, Hradec Kralove has struggled at home against Prostejov, losing multiple times, but this Cup tie puts Prostejov as the home team, where the H2H series is split.

League Table Positions

League table data is not provided in the available data, so a direct positional comparison cannot be made. The matchup is a cross-division Cup tie, with Hradec Kralove playing in the Czech 1. Liga and Prostejov in the second-tier FNL. The difference in league quality is a significant factor, heavily favoring the top-flight side.

Win Probability: Prostejov or Hradec Kralove?

The win probability breakdown, calculated from averaged odds and adjusted for form and league strength, is as follows: Prostejov win — 18%, draw — 20%, Hradec Kralove win — 62%.

The bookmaker odds are the primary driver for this analysis. Averaging the inverse of the most representative pre-match odds gives a strong lean towards the away side. The implied probability from odds of around 1.75 for a Hradec Kralove win points to over 55% before any margin removal. The significant price discrepancy, with Prostejov as high as 6.25 to win, reflects a huge gap in perceived strength. Adjusting for Hradec Kralove's recent tough schedule in a higher league and their away win in the previous Cup round, their chances increase further. Prostejov's home advantage and H2H record prevent the probability from being even more one-sided, but Hradec Kralove is far more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers across the board see Hradec Kralove as the strong favorite. Average pre-match odds place an away win around 1.75-1.91, while a home win for Prostejov is priced as high as 6.25. The draw is available at odds around 2.40-2.50. The most mispriced outlier among the provided bookmakers offers 1.10 for a Hradec Kralove win, though the more consistent market consensus is near 1.80. Based on the stats, the class difference between a 1. Liga side and an FNL team is likely to be decisive, and a Hradec Kralove win is the prediction for this Cup match.