Pamplona - Huarte prediction 3 October 2026

Pamplona vs Huarte prediction for the Tercera Federacion match on Oct 3, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, Pamplona is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Huarte has a 20% chance. The draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Pamplona's last five results show a mixed pattern: W, D, L, W, D. They secured a 3-1 away win against Mutilvera in a friendly, followed by a 1-1 home draw with Real Murcia II. A 1-2 away loss to Real Murcia II was followed by a dominant 5-1 home victory over CD Izarra, and most recently a 1-1 away draw against CD Izarra. This form indicates resilience but inconsistency.

Huarte's recent form reads D, L, L, W, W. They played a 0-0 home draw with Club Deportivo Aoiz, then lost 1-2 away to CD Cantolagua and 0-1 at home to Osasuna B in a friendly. They bounced back with a 2-1 away win at Atletico Artajones and a 2-1 home win over Subiza. The two consecutive wins suggest improving momentum, but the earlier losses raise questions about their away solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, Pamplona has won 3, Huarte 2, with 2 draws. Notably, when playing at home, Pamplona has a perfect record against Huarte: a 2-0 win in April 2025 and a 5-1 victory in November 2023. The most recent clash in January 2026 saw Pamplona win 2-1 away. This head-to-head dominance, especially at home, gives Pamplona a clear psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Neither Pamplona nor Huarte appear in the top 12 of the available Tercera Federacion standings. Their exact league positions are therefore unknown, but the lack of top-table presence suggests both sides are mid- to lower-table teams. This makes the head-to-head and recent form even more critical for this prediction.

Win Probability: Pamplona or Huarte?

Pamplona has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Huarte has a 20% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 2.20, draw 2.25, away 4.50), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for team form and head-to-head record. Pamplona's strong home H2H record and Huarte's inconsistent away form tilt the balance in favor of the home side. The draw remains a significant possibility given both teams' recent tendency to share points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Pamplona as the favorite with odds of 2.20 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.25, and an away win for Huarte at 4.50. These odds reflect the home advantage and historical dominance. Based on the stats, Pamplona is the most likely winner, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: a narrow home win or a stalemate.