Hull City - Ipswich Town prediction 31 October 2026

The Hull City vs Ipswich Town prediction for October 31, 2026, sees the hosts as marginal favorites with a 38% win probability. This Premier League clash at the MKM Stadium is a tight contest, with Hull's home advantage slightly outweighing Ipswich's league position.

Team Form

Hull City's recent form has been inconsistent. Their last five results show three draws and two losses: 1-1 vs Brentford, 0-1 vs Fulham, 2-2 vs Everton, 1-2 vs Newcastle United, and 2-2 vs Chelsea. They have been difficult to beat but are struggling to secure victories, with three draws in their last five matches.

Ipswich Town's recent form is similarly mixed, with one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five: 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest, 2-3 vs Manchester City, 2-1 vs Fulham, 0-1 vs Everton, and a 2-4 loss to Arsenal FC in the League Cup. While they have faced tough opposition, their only win came at home against Fulham.

Head-to-Head Record

Over their last five meetings, Hull City have won once, Ipswich Town have won three times, and there has been one draw. The head-to-head record shows 6 home wins for Hull, 2 draws, and 4 away wins for Ipswich overall.

In their most recent encounters, Ipswich have dominated: a 1-0 home win in March 2026, a 2-0 away win at Hull in November 2025, and a 3-0 victory in October 2023. Hull's last win came in November 2020, a 3-0 away result. Ipswich have won the last three head-to-head matches.

League Table Positions

In the Premier League standings, Hull City sit 11th with 9 points from 7 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), scoring 8 goals and conceding 7. Ipswich Town are 10th with 10 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses), with 12 goals scored and 16 conceded.

At home, Hull are ranked 8th, while Ipswich’s away form places them outside the top 8 in the standings data. Hull's solid defensive record (7 goals conceded) contrasts with Ipswich's leakier defense (16 conceded), but Ipswich have been more prolific in attack.

Win Probability: Hull City or Ipswich Town?

Based on an analysis of bookmaker odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match: Hull City have a 38% chance of winning, a draw has a 30% probability, and Ipswich Town have a 32% chance. These percentages are derived from the inverse of the available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Hull's home venue and Ipswich's superior head-to-head record and league standing. The match is projected to be closely contested, but Hull City enter as the narrow favorites, primarily due to home field advantage.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds for this fixture show Hull City priced between 2.40 and 2.72 for a home win. The draw is available at 2.18 to 3.50, while an Ipswich Town away win ranges from 2.75 to 3.00. Bookmakers see this as a tight encounter with no strong favorite, though Hull's shorter price indicates a slight edge.

Considering Hull's home draws against Brentford and Everton, and Ipswich's away losses to Manchester City and Everton, the most likely outcome is a home win or a draw. Based on the statistics and the calculated probabilities, a draw is a significant possibility, but Hull City are expected to edge it.