St Albans Saints - Hume City prediction 24 July 2026

The St Albans Saints vs Hume City prediction points to an away win as the most likely outcome when these NPL Victoria sides meet on July 24, 2026, at 09:30. Based on the available stats, Hume City has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and St Albans Saints has a 20% chance.

Team Form

St Albans Saints come into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches show three draws, one loss, and one win (D, D, D, L, W). Most recently, they drew 1-1 away at Avondale FC on Jul 18, and before that played a 2-2 home draw against Caroline Springs George Cross on Jul 12. Their only win in this period was a 2-1 home victory over Altona Magic on Jun 21.

Hume City's recent form is slightly better, with two wins, two losses, and one draw (L, L, D, W, W). They are coming off back-to-back away defeats: a 1-0 loss at Oakleigh Cannons on Jul 18 and a 2-1 loss at Preston Lions on Jul 10. However, they recorded a solid 3-1 away win at Dandenong Thunder on Jun 27 and a 3-2 home win against Green Gully Cavaliers on Jun 20.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams heavily favors Hume City. In their last 12 meetings, Hume City has won 7, St Albans Saints has won 4, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent encounter was on Apr 18, 2026, when St Albans Saints won 1-0 away at Hume City. Before that, Hume City dominated with a 4-0 away win on Aug 23, 2025, and a 3-2 home win on May 10, 2025.

League Table Positions

There is a significant gap between the two sides in the NPL Victoria standings. Hume City sits 2nd with 40 points from 21 matches (12 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses), while St Albans Saints is down in 10th place with 24 points (6 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses). Hume City has scored 40 goals and conceded 25, compared to St Albans Saints' 24 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home, Hume City is strong, ranked 4th in the away table with 20 points from 10 games.

Win Probability: St Albans Saints or Hume City?

St Albans Saints has a 20% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Hume City has a 55% chance. This calculation is based on the league table positions, recent form, and head-to-head record. Hume City's 2nd-place standing and superior goal difference give them a clear edge. St Albans Saints' recent run of draws shows resilience, but their low win count and poor defensive record make an upset unlikely. The head-to-head record, with Hume City winning 7 of the last 12, further supports the away favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are available for this match. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Hume City as the favorite. The prediction is an away win for Hume City, but a draw cannot be ruled out given St Albans Saints' recent three consecutive stalemates. A low-scoring game is possible, with Hume City's attack likely to find the net against a defense that has conceded 37 goals this season.